globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112220
论文题名:
Optimal building retrofit pathways considering stock dynamics and climate change impacts
作者: Streicher K.N.; Berger M.; Panos E.; Narula K.; Soini M.C.; Patel M.K.
刊名: Energy Policy
ISSN: 03014215
出版年: 2021
卷: 152
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Climate change scenarios ; Deep energy retrofit pathways ; Dynamic building stock model ; Energy efficiency ; Indicator-based optimization
英文关键词: Climate change ; Climate models ; Cost effectiveness ; Cost reduction ; Economic and social effects ; Emission control ; Gas emissions ; Greenhouse gases ; Retrofitting ; Building retrofits ; Climate change impact ; Climate scenarios ; Emission reduction ; Energy retrofit ; Investment costs ; Optimization modeling ; Residential building stocks ; Investments ; architectural design ; boundary condition ; climate change ; climate effect ; cost-benefit analysis ; emission control ; emission inventory ; energy efficiency ; environmental economics ; greenhouse gas ; optimization ; trade-off ; Europe ; Switzerland ; Indicator indicator
英文摘要: Deep energy retrofit across the European building stock would require decades during which boundary conditions will change. This study identifies a range of retrofit pathways, using a dynamic stock model, a bottom-up energy model and an optimization model for different climate scenarios. We consider 1.1 million different retrofit options in the Swiss residential building stock for different economic/environmental objectives until 2060. Despite the replacement of old by new buildings, energy demand and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the reference scenario without deep energy retrofitting are likely to decrease by only about 25%, while accounting for investments of 2–3 billion CHF/a. Partial energy retrofitting or an investment-minimized pathway are neither cost-effective nor sufficient to get close to the net zero targets. In contrast, the highest GHG-saving pathway leads to very high emission reduction of 90%, but requires investment cost of 9 billion CHF/a, which leads to specific cost of 180 CHF/t CO2eq. The cost-optimal pathway shows moderate trade-offs for investment cost and could reach GHG savings of 77% with specific cost of −140 CHF/t CO2eq. Hence, early and deep energy retrofit is cost-effective and allows deep GHG emission reductions by making full use of the synergies between GHG and cost savings. © 2021 The Authors
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被引频次[WOS]:25   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168033
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作者单位: Chair for Energy Efficiency, Institute for Environmental Sciences and Department F.-A. Forel for Environmental and Aquatic Sciences, University of Geneva, Switzerland; Competence Centre for Thermal Energy Storage, School of Engineering and Architecture, Lucerne University of Applied Sciences and Arts, Technikumstrasse 21, Horw, 6048, Switzerland; Paul Scherrer Institute, Energy Economics Group, Villigen5232, Switzerland

Recommended Citation:
Streicher K.N.,Berger M.,Panos E.,et al. Optimal building retrofit pathways considering stock dynamics and climate change impacts[J]. Energy Policy,2021-01-01,152
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