DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102179
论文题名: Prioritising resilience policies to reduce welfare losses from natural disasters: A case study for coastal Bangladesh
作者: Verschuur J. ; Koks E.E. ; Haque A. ; Hall J.W.
刊名: Global Environmental Change
ISSN: 9593780
出版年: 2020
卷: 65 语种: 英语
中文关键词: Bangladesh
; Disaster risk reduction
; Resilience
; Sustainable development
英文关键词: adaptive management
; dike
; disaster management
; housing conditions
; prioritization
; tropical cyclone
; welfare provision
; Bangladesh
英文摘要: Quantified flood risk assessments focus on asset losses, neglecting longer-term impacts to household welfare via income and consumption losses. The extent of welfare losses depends upon resilience – the ability to anticipate, resist, cope, recover and learn from a shock. Here, we use a novel welfare loss modelling framework and perform a high-resolution spatial analysis in coastal Bangladesh to quantify welfare losses from a tropical cyclone under present and future climatic and socio-economic conditions. We further test various adaptation options that are intended to enhance resilience. Results show that poor households experience, on average, 7% of the asset losses, but 42% of the welfare losses. Combining dike heightening, post-disaster support and stronger housing can reduce welfare losses by up to 70%, and foster sustainable development by benefitting the poor, increasing resilience and demonstrating robustness under socio-economic and climatic uncertainties. Thus, a welfare-orientated perspective helps to identify adaptation options that enhance resilience and leave no-one behind. © 2020 The Author(s) Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168247
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Institute of Water and Flood Management, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh
Recommended Citation:
Verschuur J.,Koks E.E.,Haque A.,et al. Prioritising resilience policies to reduce welfare losses from natural disasters: A case study for coastal Bangladesh[J]. Global Environmental Change,2020-01-01,65