globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04214-2
论文题名:
Tropical cyclone early warnings for the regions of the Southern Hemisphere: strengthening resilience to tropical cyclones in small island developing states and least developed countries
作者: Kuleshov Y.; Gregory P.; Watkins A.B.; Fawcett R.J.B.
刊名: Natural Hazards
ISSN: 0921030X
出版年: 2020
卷: 104, 期:2
起始页码: 1295
结束页码: 1313
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Disaster risk reduction ; Early warning systems (EWS) ; Least developed countries (LDCs) ; Risk communication to the public ; Small island developing states (SIDS) ; Tropical cyclones
英文关键词: communication ; developing world ; disaster management ; early warning system ; risk assessment ; small island state ; Southern Hemisphere ; tropical cyclone event
英文摘要: Tropical cyclones (TCs) affect countries in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) tropics every year causing significant humanitarian impacts and much damage to the natural environment. To reduce TC impacts on societies, early warning systems (EWS) are used to communicate the risk to the public. In 1999, the Climate Change and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones International Initiative (CCSHTCII) was established to enhance EWS for TCs in SH countries, with particular focus on support for small island developing states and least developed countries to provide effective public early warnings of TC risk. In this paper, recent activities of the CCSHTCII to strengthen TC EWS are presented. Using TC best track data from the SH TC historical data archive, the impact of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on inter-annual and spatial variability of TC activity is examined. TC-ENSO relationships in the SH are analysed and used as a scientific basis for the production of TC season outlooks. Communication of TC early warnings through TC season outlooks is described, and recommendations for improving outlooks are provided. © 2020, Crown.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168570
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Bureau of Meteorology, Docklands, VIC, Australia; Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT) University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Kuleshov Y.,Gregory P.,Watkins A.B.,et al. Tropical cyclone early warnings for the regions of the Southern Hemisphere: strengthening resilience to tropical cyclones in small island developing states and least developed countries[J]. Natural Hazards,2020-01-01,104(2)
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