DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04807-5
论文题名: The application of cascading consequences for emergency management operations
作者: Cuartas J.B. ; Frazier T. ; Wood E.
刊名: Natural Hazards
ISSN: 0921030X
出版年: 2021
卷: 108, 期: 3 起始页码: 2919
结束页码: 2938
语种: 英语
中文关键词: All hazards
; Cascading consequences
; Consequence-based
; FEMA
; Risk
; THIRA
英文摘要: How societies organize themselves to respond to cascading impacts exacerbated by climate change will help define the future of disaster planning, mitigation, response, and recovery. Current emergency management risk analyses focus on identifying a broad array of threats and hazards that may affect an area. However, there is limited attention and understanding of the totality of hazard impacts, the relationship of consequences across disasters, and the dangers of not addressing critical capabilities necessary to rapidly managing consequences—including the potential to create new incidents within incidents. Through a focused review of the related literature and guiding policy documents, this study aims to provide a cascading consequence-based framework that can support emergency managers in the analysis of their jurisdictional risks, development of emergency operations plans, and decision-making. Results include the identification of an alternative framework to identify cascading networks, the creation of a supplementary model for downstream risk assessment, and refined Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Analysis (THIRA) outputs for improved grant allocation. The proposed framework has the potential to help organizations factor both conspicuous and downstream consequences into their Emergency Operations Plans in the planning and mitigations phases. This proposed refinement, which looks deeper into the progression of a disaster, has both national and international implications. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/168968
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Georgetown University, Washington, DC, United States; School of Continuing Studies (SCS), Emergency and Disaster Management Master’s Program, Georgetown University, 640 Massachusetts Ave NW, Washington, DC 20001, United States
Recommended Citation:
Cuartas J.B.,Frazier T.,Wood E.. The application of cascading consequences for emergency management operations[J]. Natural Hazards,2021-01-01,108(3)