DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04600-4
论文题名: Tide-only inundation: a metric to quantify the contribution of tides to coastal inundation under sea-level rise
作者: Hague B.S. ; Taylor A.J.
刊名: Natural Hazards
ISSN: 0921030X
出版年: 2021
卷: 107, 期: 1 起始页码: 675
结束页码: 695
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Coastal inundation
; Flooding
; Natural hazard
; Risk assessment
; Sea-level rise
; Tidal analysis
; Tide-only inundation
英文关键词: coastal zone
; coastal zone management
; flooding
; natural hazard
; planning process
; sea level change
; tide
英文摘要: Sea-level rise is causing coastal inundation events in estuaries, harbours, bays, and tidal rivers to happen more often as predictable daily high and low tides reach higher levels. This can lead to coastal inundation happening under benign weather conditions, as flood thresholds are exceeded due to tides alone without the influence of storm surges or other phenomena. As such, changes in frequency of this 'tide-only' inundation may be a useful metric to quantify the role that sea-level rise plays in modulating the risk of coastal inundation from high still water levels. Here we present a conceptual model for 'tide-only' inundation and propose a practical methodology to formulate tide-only inundation statistics: estimates, historical trends, and future projections. This enables this emerging natural hazard to be fully incorporated into new and existing coastal risk assessment frameworks and considered in coastal management and planning strategies at local and national levels. Further, it leads to a framework that can quantify the role that tides play in coastal flooding as sea levels rise. © 2021, Crown.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/169065
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Bureau of Meteorology, Docklands, Australia; School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Monash University, Clayton, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Hague B.S.,Taylor A.J.. Tide-only inundation: a metric to quantify the contribution of tides to coastal inundation under sea-level rise[J]. Natural Hazards,2021-01-01,107(1)