DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04756-z
论文题名: A method to reconstruct flood scenarios using field interviews and hydrodynamic modelling: application to the 2017 Suleja and Tafa, Nigeria flood
作者: Malgwi M.B. ; Ramirez J.A. ; Zischg A. ; Zimmermann M. ; Schürmann S. ; Keiler M.
刊名: Natural Hazards
ISSN: 0921030X
出版年: 2021
卷: 108, 期: 2 起始页码: 1781
结束页码: 1805
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Data-scarce
; Flood duration
; Floods
; Hydrodynamic modelling
; Interviews
; Peak discharge
英文摘要: The scarcity of model input and calibration data has limited efforts in reconstructing scenarios of past floods in many regions globally. Recently, the number of studies that use distributed post-flood observation data collected throughout flood-affected communities (e.g. face-to-face interviews) are increasing. However, a systematic method that applies such data for hydrodynamic modelling of past floods in locations without hydrological data is lacking. In this study, we developed a method for reconstructing plausible scenarios of past flood events in data-scarce regions by applying flood observation data collected through field interviews to a hydrodynamic model (CAESAR-Lisflood). We tested the method using 300 spatially distributed flood depths and duration data collected using questionnaires on five river reaches after the 2017 flood event in Suleja and Tafa region, Nigeria. A stepwise process that aims to minimize the error between modelled and observed flood depth and duration at the locations of interviewed households was implemented. Results from the reconstructed flood depth scenario produced an error of ± 0.61 m for all observed and modelled locations and lie in the range of error produced by studies using comparable hydrodynamic models. The study demonstrates the potential of utilizing interview data for hydrodynamic modelling applications in data-scarce regions to support regional flood risk assessment. Furthermore, the method can provide flow depths and durations at houses without observations, which is useful input data for physical vulnerability assessment to complement disaster risk reduction efforts. © 2021, The Author(s). Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/169202
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Hallerstrasse 12, Bern, 3012, Switzerland; Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Hochschulstrasse 4, Bern, 3012, Switzerland; Mobiliar Lab for Natural Risks, University of Bern, Hallerstrasse 12, Bern, 3012, Switzerland
Recommended Citation:
Malgwi M.B.,Ramirez J.A.,Zischg A.,et al. A method to reconstruct flood scenarios using field interviews and hydrodynamic modelling: application to the 2017 Suleja and Tafa, Nigeria flood[J]. Natural Hazards,2021-01-01,108(2)