DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04473-z
论文题名: Nexus between vulnerability and adaptive capacity of drought-prone rural households in northern Bangladesh
作者: Salam R. ; Towfiqul Islam A.R.M. ; Shill B.K. ; Monirul Alam G.M. ; Hasanuzzaman M. ; Morshadul Hasan M. ; Ibrahim S.M. ; Shouse R.C.
刊名: Natural Hazards
ISSN: 0921030X
出版年: 2021
卷: 106, 期: 1 起始页码: 509
结束页码: 527
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Capacity index
; Co-occurrence network analysis
; Jackknife test
; Northern Bangladesh
; Support vector machine
; Vulnerability index
英文摘要: Bangladesh is one of the world’s most climate-vulnerable countries. The appraisal of household vulnerability and capacity to adapt under climate change is therefore crucial for developing effective disaster risk reduction policies. This study explored the nexus between vulnerability and capacity of rural drought-prone households using survey data of 400 respondents from northern Bangladesh. Through extensive rigorous literature review, 22 and 25 indicators were employed to develop the vulnerability and capacity index, respectively. Co-occurrence network analysis was employed to show the nexus among different classes of capacity and vulnerability. Spearman correlation was also performed to analyze the nexus between vulnerability and capacity. The results reveal that households’ vulnerability varies across livelihood assets (human, social, financial, physical, and natural), but capacity follows a similar distribution pattern. A significant negative association was found between vulnerability and adaptive capacity, whereas the strong correlations between social and human capital, human and financial capital, social and financial capital, and physical and natural capital were identified in this study. Future projection (up to 2024) using support vector machine algorithm shows that overall drought adaptive capacity will increase, while vulnerability will decrease. The outcomes of this study would help planners and policy-makers in planning and taking proper initiatives that might be useful for adopting efficient disaster risk reduction strategies. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. part of Springer Nature. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/169335
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Department of Disaster Management, Begum Rokeya University, Rangpur, 5400, Bangladesh; Department of Agribusiness, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Agricultural University, Gazipur, Bangladesh; School of Commerce, University of Southern Queensland, Melbourne, Australia; School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui 230026, China; Department of Biochemistry, College of Science, King Saud University, P.O. Box: 2455, Riyadh, 11451, Saudi Arabia; Program in Public Administration, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
Recommended Citation:
Salam R.,Towfiqul Islam A.R.M.,Shill B.K.,et al. Nexus between vulnerability and adaptive capacity of drought-prone rural households in northern Bangladesh[J]. Natural Hazards,2021-01-01,106(1)