globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04351-8
论文题名:
GIS-based forest fire susceptibility modeling in Pauri Garhwal, India: a comparative assessment of frequency ratio, analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy modeling techniques
作者: Tiwari A.; Shoab M.; Dixit A.
刊名: Natural Hazards
ISSN: 0921030X
出版年: 2021
卷: 105, 期:2
起始页码: 1189
结束页码: 1230
语种: 英语
中文关键词: Analytical hierarchical process (AHP) ; Forest fire susceptibility map (FFSM) ; Frequency ratio (FR) ; Fuzzy analytical hierarchical process (FAHP) ; Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA)
英文关键词: accuracy assessment ; analytical hierarchy process ; comparative study ; decision analysis ; forest fire ; frequency analysis ; fuzzy mathematics ; GIS ; hazard assessment ; mapping method ; India ; Uttarakhand
英文摘要: This study performs a comparative evaluation of Frequency Ratio (FR), Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and Fuzzy AHP (FAHP) modeling techniques for forest fire susceptibility mapping in Pauri Garhwal, Uttarakhand, India. Locations of past forest fire events reported from November 2002 to July 2019 were collected from the Uttarakhand Forest Department and Forest Survey of India and combined with the ground observations obtained from the manual survey. Then, the locations were categorized into two groups of 70% (10,500 locations) and 30% (4500 locations), randomly, for training and validation purposes, respectively. Forest fire susceptibility mapping was performed on the basis of fourteen different topographic, biological, human-induced and climatic criteria such as Digital Elevation Model, Slope, Aspect, Curvature, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, Normalized Difference Moisture Index, Topographic Wetness Index, Soil, Distance to Settlement, Distance to Road, Distance to Drainage, Rainfall, Temperature, and Wind Speed. The Receiver Operating Characteristic curve and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) were implemented for validation of the three achieved Forest Fire Susceptibility Maps. The AUC plot evaluation revealed that FAHP has a maximum prediction accuracy of 83.47%, followed by AHP (81.75%) and FR (77.21%). Thus, the map produced by FAHP exhibits the most satisfactory properties. Results and findings of this study will help in developing more efficient fire management strategies in both the open and the protected forest areas (Rajaji and Jim Corbett National Park) of the district. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/169410
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee, Uttarakhand, India; Department of Computer Science, College of Science and Humanities, Shaqra University, Al Dawadmi, Riyadh Province, Saudi Arabia; Centre of Excellence in Disaster Mitigation and Management, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee, Uttarakhand, India

Recommended Citation:
Tiwari A.,Shoab M.,Dixit A.. GIS-based forest fire susceptibility modeling in Pauri Garhwal, India: a comparative assessment of frequency ratio, analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy modeling techniques[J]. Natural Hazards,2021-01-01,105(2)
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