| DOI: | 10.1038/s41561-019-0527-z
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| 论文题名: | Complex evolving patterns of mass loss from Antarctica’s largest glacier |
| 作者: | Bamber J.L.; Dawson G.J.
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| 刊名: | Nature Geoscience
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| ISSN: | 17520894
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| 出版年: | 2020
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| 卷: | 13, 期:2 | | 起始页码: | 127
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| 结束页码: | 131
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | glacier
; grounding line
; ice-ocean interaction
; sea level change
; Antarctica
; Pine Island Glacier
; West Antarctica
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| 英文摘要: | Pine Island Glacier has contributed more to sea level rise over the past four decades than any other glacier in Antarctica. Model projections indicate that this will continue in the future but at conflicting rates. Some models suggest that mass loss could dramatically increase over the next few decades, resulting in a rapidly growing contribution to sea level and fast retreat of the grounding line, where the grounded ice meets the ocean. Other models indicate more moderate losses. Resolving this contrasting behaviour is important for sea level rise projections. Here, we use high-resolution satellite observations of elevation change since 2010 to show that thinning rates are now highest along the slow-flow margins of the glacier and that the present-day amplitude and pattern of elevation change is inconsistent with fast grounding-line migration and the associated rapid increase in mass loss over the next few decades. Instead, our results support model simulations that imply only modest changes in grounding-line location over that timescale. We demonstrate how the pattern of thinning is evolving in complex ways both in space and time and how rates in the fast-flowing central trunk have decreased by about a factor five since 2007. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/169548
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Bristol Glaciology Centre, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Bamber J.L.,Dawson G.J.. Complex evolving patterns of mass loss from Antarctica’s largest glacier[J]. Nature Geoscience,2020-01-01,13(2)
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