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DOI:	10.1371/journal.pone.0086439
论文题名:	Seasonal Predictability of the East Atlantic Pattern from Sea Surface Temperatures
作者:	Isabel Iglesias; María N. Lorenzo; Juan J. Taboada
刊名:	PLOS ONE
ISSN:	1932-6203
出版年:	2014
发表日期:	2014-1-22
卷:	9, 期:1
语种:	英语
英文关键词:	Forecasting ; Seasons ; Autumn ; Summer ; Winter ; Indian Ocean ; Linear regression analysis ; Surface temperature
英文摘要:	This study analyzes the influence of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) on the second mode of atmospheric variability in the north Atlantic/European sector, namely the East-Atlantic (EA) pattern, for the period 1950–2012. For this purpose, lead-lag relationships between SSTs and the EA pattern, ranging from 0 to 3 seasons, were assessed. As a main result, anomalies of the EA pattern in boreal summer and autumn are significantly related to SST anomalies in the Indo-Pacific Ocean during the preceding seasons. A statistical forecasting scheme based on multiple linear regression was used to hindcast the EA-anomalies with a lead-time of 1 to 2 months. The results of a one-year-out cross-validation approach indicate that the phases of the EA in summer and autumn can be properly hindcast.
URL:	http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0086439&type=printable
Citation statistics:
资源类型:	期刊论文
标识符:	http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/17952
Appears in Collections:	过去全球变化的重建影响、适应和脆弱性科学计划与规划气候变化与战略全球变化的国际研究计划气候减缓与适应气候变化事实与影响

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File Name/ File Size	Content Type	Version	Access	License
journal.pone.0086439.PDF（1485KB）	期刊论文	作者接受稿	开放获取	CC BY-NC-SA	View Download

作者单位:

Grupo de Física de la Atmósfera y del Océano. Facultad de Ciencias. Universidad de Vigo, Ourense, Spain;Centro Interdisciplinar de Investigação Marinha e Ambiental, Universidade do Porto, Porto, Portugal;Grupo de Física de la Atmósfera y del Océano. Facultad de Ciencias. Universidad de Vigo, Ourense, Spain;Meteogalicia. Xunta de Galicia. Santiago de Compostela, Spain

Recommended Citation:

Isabel Iglesias,María N. Lorenzo,Juan J. Taboada. Seasonal Predictability of the East Atlantic Pattern from Sea Surface Temperatures[J]. PLOS ONE,2014-01-01,9(1)

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