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DOI:	10.1371/journal.pone.0095447
论文题名:	Climate Variability and Nonstationary Dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae Pneumonia in Japan
作者:	Daisuke Onozuka; Luis Fernando Chaves
刊名:	PLOS ONE
ISSN:	1932-6203
出版年:	2014
发表日期:	2014-4-16
卷:	9, 期:4
语种:	英语
英文关键词:	Mycoplasma pneumoniae ; El Niño-Southern Oscillation ; Pneumonia ; Humidity ; Climate change ; Disease dynamics ; Infectious disease epidemiology ; Japan
英文摘要:	Background A stationary association between climate factors and epidemics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae (M. pneumoniae) pneumonia has been widely assumed. However, it is unclear whether elements of the local climate that are relevant to M. pneumoniae pneumonia transmission have stationary signatures of climate factors on their dynamics over different time scales. Methods We performed a cross-wavelet coherency analysis to assess the patterns of association between monthly M. pneumoniae cases in Fukuoka, Japan, from 2000 to 2012 and indices for the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Results Monthly M. pneumoniae cases were strongly associated with the dynamics of both the IOD and ENSO for the 1–2-year periodic mode in 2005–2007 and 2010–2011. This association was non-stationary and appeared to have a major influence on the synchrony of M. pneumoniae epidemics. Conclusions Our results call for the consideration of non-stationary, possibly non-linear, patterns of association between M. pneumoniae cases and climatic factors in early warning systems.
URL:	http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0095447&type=printable
Citation statistics:
资源类型:	期刊论文
标识符:	http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/18108
Appears in Collections:	过去全球变化的重建影响、适应和脆弱性科学计划与规划气候变化与战略全球变化的国际研究计划气候减缓与适应气候变化事实与影响

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File Name/ File Size	Content Type	Version	Access	License
journal.pone.0095447.PDF（1075KB）	期刊论文	作者接受稿	开放获取	CC BY-NC-SA	View Download

作者单位:

Department of Planning Information and Administration, Fukuoka Institute of Health and Environmental Sciences, Fukuoka, Japan;Programa de Investigación en Enfermedades Tropicales, Escuela de Medicina Veterinaria, Universidad Nacional, Heredia, Costa Rica;Institute of Tropical Medicine (NEKKEN), Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan

Recommended Citation:

Daisuke Onozuka,Luis Fernando Chaves. Climate Variability and Nonstationary Dynamics of Mycoplasma pneumoniae Pneumonia in Japan[J]. PLOS ONE,2014-01-01,9(4)

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