globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0106752
论文题名:
Biogeography of Human Infectious Diseases: A Global Historical Analysis
作者: Elizabeth Cashdan
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2014
发表日期: 2014-10-1
卷: 9, 期:10
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Pathogens ; Latitude ; Species diversity ; Population density ; Rain ; Host-pathogen interactions ; Phylogeography ; Culture
英文摘要: Objectives Human pathogen richness and prevalence vary widely across the globe, yet we know little about whether global patterns found in other taxa also predict diversity in this important group of organisms. This study (a) assesses the relative importance of temperature, precipitation, habitat diversity, and population density on the global distributions of human pathogens and (b) evaluates the species-area predictions of island biogeography for human pathogen distributions on oceanic islands. Methods Historical data were used in order to minimize the influence of differential access to modern health care on pathogen prevalence. The database includes coded data (pathogen, environmental and cultural) for a worldwide sample of 186 non-industrial cultures, including 37 on islands. Prevalence levels for 10 pathogens were combined into a pathogen prevalence index, and OLS regression was used to model the environmental determinants of the prevalence index and number of pathogens. Results Pathogens (number and prevalence index) showed the expected latitudinal gradient, but predictors varied by latitude. Pathogens increased with temperature in high-latitude zones, while mean annual precipitation was a more important predictor in low-latitude zones. Other environmental factors associated with more pathogens included seasonal dry extremes, frost-free climates, and human population density outside the tropics. Islands showed the expected species-area relationship for all but the smallest islands, and the relationship was not mediated by habitat diversity. Although geographic distributions of free-living and parasitic taxa typically have different determinants, these data show that variables that influence the distribution of free-living organisms also shape the global distribution of human pathogens. Understanding the cause of these distributions is potentially important, since geographical variation in human pathogens has an important influence on global disparities in human welfare.
URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0106752&type=printable
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/18309
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建
影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
全球变化的国际研究计划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Department of Anthropology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, United States of America

Recommended Citation:
Elizabeth Cashdan. Biogeography of Human Infectious Diseases: A Global Historical Analysis[J]. PLOS ONE,2014-01-01,9(10)
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