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globalchange > 过去全球变化的重建

DOI:	10.1371/journal.pone.0140181
论文题名:	Latitudinal-Related Variation in Wintering Population Trends of Greylag Geese (Anser Anser) along the Atlantic Flyway: A Response to Climate Change?
作者:	Cristina Ramo; Juan A. Amat; Leif Nilsson; Vincent Schricke; Mariano Rodríguez-Alonso; Enrique Gómez-Crespo; Fernando Jubete; Juan G. Navedo; José A. Masero; Jesús Palacios; Mathieu Boos; Andy J. Green
刊名:	PLOS ONE
ISSN:	1932-6203
出版年:	2015
发表日期:	2015-10-14
卷:	10, 期:10
语种:	英语
英文关键词:	Winter ; Animal migration ; Netherlands ; Sweden ; Climate change ; Denmark ; Spain ; Latitude
英文摘要:	The unusually high quality of census data for large waterbirds in Europe facilitates the study of how population change varies across a broad geographical range and relates to global change. The wintering population of the greylag goose Anser anser in the Atlantic flyway spanning between Sweden and Spain has increased from 120 000 to 610 000 individuals over the past three decades, and expanded its wintering range northwards. Although population sizes recorded in January have increased in all seven countries in the wintering range, we found a pronounced northwards latitudinal effect in which the rate of increase is higher at greater latitudes, causing a constant shift in the centre of gravity for the spatial distribution of wintering geese. Local winter temperatures have a strong influence on goose numbers but in a manner that is also dependent on latitude, with the partial effect of temperature (while controlling for the increasing population trend between years) being negative at the south end and positive at the north end of the flyway. Contrary to assumptions in the literature, the expansion of crops exploited by greylag geese has made little contribution to the increases in population size. Only in one case (expansion of winter cereals in Denmark) did we find evidence of an effect of changing land use. The expanding and shifting greylag population is likely to have increasing impacts on habitats in northern Europe during the course of this century.
URL:	http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0140181&type=printable
Citation statistics:
资源类型:	期刊论文
标识符:	http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/20413
Appears in Collections:	过去全球变化的重建影响、适应和脆弱性科学计划与规划气候变化与战略全球变化的国际研究计划气候减缓与适应气候变化事实与影响

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File Name/ File Size	Content Type	Version	Access	License
journal.pone.0140181.PDF（651KB）	期刊论文	作者接受稿	开放获取	CC BY-NC-SA	View Download

作者单位:

Wetland Ecology Department, Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD-CSIC), Sevilla, Spain;Wetland Ecology Department, Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD-CSIC), Sevilla, Spain;Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden;Office National de la Chasse et de la Faune Sauvage, Nantes, France;Servicio Territorial de Medio Ambiente de Zamora, Junta de Castilla León, Zamora, Spain;Sección de Espacios Naturales y Especies Protegidas, Consejería de Fomento y Medio Ambiente, Junta de Castilla y León, Palencia, Spain;Avespalencia.org, Palencia, Spain;Instituto de Ciencias Marinas y Limnológicas, Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia, Chile;Grupo de Biología de la Conservación, Universidad de Extremadura, Badajoz, Spain;Servicio Territorial de Medio Ambiente de Zamora, Junta de Castilla León, Zamora, Spain;Research Agency in Applied Ecology, Naturaconst@, Wilshausen, France;Wetland Ecology Department, Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD-CSIC), Sevilla, Spain

Recommended Citation:

Cristina Ramo,Juan A. Amat,Leif Nilsson,et al. Latitudinal-Related Variation in Wintering Population Trends of Greylag Geese (Anser Anser) along the Atlantic Flyway: A Response to Climate Change?[J]. PLOS ONE,2015-01-01,10(10)

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