globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0144884
论文题名:
Energy Structure and Energy Security under Climate Mitigation Scenarios in China
作者: Ken’ichi Matsumoto
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2015
发表日期: 2015-12-10
卷: 10, 期:12
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Alternative energy ; Fossil fuels ; Climate change ; China ; Coal ; National security ; Nuclear power ; Paleoclimatology
英文摘要: This study investigates how energy structure and energy security in China will change in the future under climate mitigation policy scenarios using Representative Concentration Pathways in a computable general equilibrium model. The findings suggest that to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, China needs to shift its energy structure from fossil fuel dominance to renewables and nuclear. The lower the allowable emissions, the larger the shifts required. Among fossil fuels, coal use particularly must significantly decrease. Such structural shifts will improve energy self-sufficiency, thus enhancing energy security. Under the policy scenarios, energy-source diversity as measured by the Herfindahl Index improves until 2050, after which diversity declines because of high dependence on a specific energy source (nuclear and biomass). Overall, however, it is revealed that energy security improves along with progress in climate mitigation. These improvements will also contribute to the economy by reducing energy procurement risks.
URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0144884&type=printable
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/20774
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建
影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
全球变化的国际研究计划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: School of Environmental Science, The University of Shiga Prefecture, Hikone, Shiga, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Ken’ichi Matsumoto. Energy Structure and Energy Security under Climate Mitigation Scenarios in China[J]. PLOS ONE,2015-01-01,10(12)
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