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globalchange > 过去全球变化的重建

DOI:	10.1371/journal.pone.0117388
论文题名:	Anatomy of Scientific Evolution
作者:	Jinhyuk Yun; Pan-Jun Kim; Hawoong Jeong
刊名:	PLOS ONE
ISSN:	1932-6203
出版年:	2015
发表日期:	2015-2-11
卷:	10, 期:2
语种:	英语
英文关键词:	Social systems ; Agent-based modeling ; Evolutionary immunology ; Internet ; Simulation and modeling ; Evolutionary systematics ; Paleoanthropology ; Scientists
英文摘要:	The quest for historically impactful science and technology provides invaluable insight into the innovation dynamics of human society, yet many studies are limited to qualitative and small-scale approaches. Here, we investigate scientific evolution through systematic analysis of a massive corpus of digitized English texts between 1800 and 2008. Our analysis reveals great predictability for long-prevailing scientific concepts based on the levels of their prior usage. Interestingly, once a threshold of early adoption rates is passed even slightly, scientific concepts can exhibit sudden leaps in their eventual lifetimes. We developed a mechanistic model to account for such results, indicating that slowly-but-commonly adopted science and technology surprisingly tend to have higher innate strength than fast-and-commonly adopted ones. The model prediction for disciplines other than science was also well verified. Our approach sheds light on unbiased and quantitative analysis of scientific evolution in society, and may provide a useful basis for policy-making.
URL:	http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0117388&type=printable
Citation statistics:
资源类型:	期刊论文
标识符:	http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/21433
Appears in Collections:	过去全球变化的重建影响、适应和脆弱性科学计划与规划气候变化与战略全球变化的国际研究计划气候减缓与适应气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

File Name/ File Size	Content Type	Version	Access	License
journal.pone.0117388.PDF（890KB）	期刊论文	作者接受稿	开放获取	CC BY-NC-SA	View Download

作者单位:

Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea;Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang, Republic of Korea;Department of Physics, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang, Republic of Korea;Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea;Asia Pacific Center for Theoretical Physics, Pohang, Republic of Korea;Institute for the BioCentury, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea

Recommended Citation:

Jinhyuk Yun,Pan-Jun Kim,Hawoong Jeong. Anatomy of Scientific Evolution[J]. PLOS ONE,2015-01-01,10(2)

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