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globalchange > 过去全球变化的重建

DOI:	10.1371/journal.pone.0128121
论文题名:	How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change?
作者:	Murad R. Qubbaj; Rachata Muneepeerakul; Rimjhim M. Aggarwal; John M. Anderies
刊名:	PLOS ONE
ISSN:	1932-6203
出版年:	2015
发表日期:	2015-7-10
卷:	10, 期:7
语种:	英语
英文关键词:	Population dynamics ; Climate change ; Dynamic response ; Alternative energy ; Theoretical ecology ; Biodiversity ; Fuels ; Social systems
英文摘要:	Most studies on the response of socioeconomic systems to a sudden shift focus on long-term equilibria or end points. Such narrow focus forgoes many valuable insights. Here we examine the transient dynamics of regime shift on a divided population, exemplified by societies divided ideologically, politically, economically, or technologically. Replicator dynamics is used to investigate the complex transient dynamics of the population response. Though simple, our modeling approach exhibits a surprisingly rich and diverse array of dynamics. Our results highlight the critical roles played by diversity in strategies and the magnitude of the shift. Importantly, it allows for a variety of strategies to arise organically as an integral part of the transient dynamics—as opposed to an independent process—of population response to a regime shift, providing a link between the population's past and future diversity patterns. Several combinations of different populations' strategy distributions and shifts were systematically investigated. Such rich dynamics highlight the challenges of anticipating the response of a divided population to a change. The findings in this paper can potentially improve our understanding of a wide range of socio-ecological and technological transitions.
URL:	http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0128121&type=printable
Citation statistics:
资源类型:	期刊论文
标识符:	http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/22221
Appears in Collections:	过去全球变化的重建影响、适应和脆弱性科学计划与规划气候变化与战略全球变化的国际研究计划气候减缓与适应气候变化事实与影响

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File Name/ File Size	Content Type	Version	Access	License
journal.pone.0128121.PDF（2080KB）	期刊论文	作者接受稿	开放获取	CC BY-NC-SA	View Download

作者单位:

School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA;School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA;Mathematical, Computational, and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA;School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA;School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA;School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA

Recommended Citation:

Murad R. Qubbaj,Rachata Muneepeerakul,Rimjhim M. Aggarwal,et al. How Does a Divided Population Respond to Change?[J]. PLOS ONE,2015-01-01,10(7)

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