globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0148228
论文题名:
Consequences of Secondary Calibrations on Divergence Time Estimates
作者: John J. Schenk
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2016
发表日期: 2016-1-29
卷: 11, 期:1
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Phylogenetic analysis ; Fossil calibration ; Normal distribution ; Phylogenetics ; Fossils ; Simulation and modeling ; Molecular evolution ; Biochemical simulations
英文摘要: Secondary calibrations (calibrations based on the results of previous molecular dating studies) are commonly applied in divergence time analyses in groups that lack fossil data; however, the consequences of applying secondary calibrations in a relaxed-clock approach are not fully understood. I tested whether applying the posterior estimate from a primary study as a prior distribution in a secondary study results in consistent age and uncertainty estimates. I compared age estimates from simulations with 100 randomly replicated secondary trees. On average, the 95% credible intervals of node ages for secondary estimates were significantly younger and narrower than primary estimates. The primary and secondary age estimates were significantly different in 97% of the replicates after Bonferroni corrections. Greater error in magnitude was associated with deeper than shallower nodes, but the opposite was found when standardized by median node age, and a significant positive relationship was determined between the number of tips/age of secondary trees and the total amount of error. When two secondary calibrated nodes were analyzed, estimates remained significantly different, and although the minimum and median estimates were associated with less error, maximum age estimates and credible interval widths had greater error. The shape of the prior also influenced error, in which applying a normal, rather than uniform, prior distribution resulted in greater error. Secondary calibrations, in summary, lead to a false impression of precision and the distribution of age estimates shift away from those that would be inferred by the primary analysis. These results suggest that secondary calibrations should not be applied as the only source of calibration in divergence time analyses that test time-dependent hypotheses until the additional error associated with secondary calibrations is more properly modeled to take into account increased uncertainty in age estimates.
URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0148228&type=printable
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/25440
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建
影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
全球变化的国际研究计划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:
File Name/ File Size Content Type Version Access License
journal.pone.0148228.PDF(948KB)期刊论文作者接受稿开放获取View Download

作者单位: Department of Biology, Georgia Southern University, Statesboro, Georgia, United States of America

Recommended Citation:
John J. Schenk. Consequences of Secondary Calibrations on Divergence Time Estimates[J]. PLOS ONE,2016-01-01,11(1)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[John J. Schenk]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[John J. Schenk]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[John J. Schenk]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
文件名: journal.pone.0148228.PDF
格式: Adobe PDF
此文件暂不支持浏览
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.