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DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0163789
论文题名:
Determinants of the Transmission Variation of Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease in China
作者: Jijun Zhao; Xinmin Li
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2016
发表日期: 2016-10-4
卷: 11, 期:10
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Hand ; foot and mouth disease ; Population density ; Birth rates ; Public and occupational health ; China ; Humidity ; Demography ; Vaccination and immunization
英文摘要: Severe outbreaks of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) have occurred in China for decades. Our understanding of the HFMD transmission process and its determinants is still limited. In this paper, factors that affect the local variation of HFMD transmission process were studied. Three classes of factors, including meteorological, demographic and public health intervention factors, were carefully selected and their effects on HFMD transmission were investigated with Pearson’s correlation coefficient and multiple linear regression models. The determining factors for the variation of HFMD transmission were different for the southeastern and the northwestern regions of China. In the northwest, fadeouts occurred yearly, and the average age at infection and the fadeout were negatively correlated with the population density. In the southeast, HFMD transmission was governed by the combined effects of the birth rate, the relative humidity and the interaction of the Health System Performance and the log of the population density. When the Health System Performance was low, HFMD transmission increased with the population density, but when the Health System Performance was high, the better health performance counteracted the transmission increase due to the higher population density.
URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0163789&type=printable
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/25538
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建
影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
全球变化的国际研究计划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Institute of Complexity Science, Qingdao University, Qingdao, China;School of Mathematics and Statistics, Qingdao University, Qingdao, China

Recommended Citation:
Jijun Zhao,Xinmin Li. Determinants of the Transmission Variation of Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease in China[J]. PLOS ONE,2016-01-01,11(10)
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