| DOI: | 10.7249/RR1452
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| 报告号: | RR-1452-RC
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| 报告题名: | Regional Implications of an Independent Kurdistan |
| 作者: | Alireza Nader; Larry Hanauer; Brenna Allen; Ali Scotten
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| 出版者: | RAND Corporation
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 发表日期: | 2016
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| 总页数: | 178
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | International Diplomacy
; Turkey
; RAND-initiated
; The Kurdistan Region - Iraq
; Baghdad
; Politics and Government
; Iran
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| 英文摘要: | This report examines the potential implications for the region if the Kurdistan Region of northern Iraq were at some point to declare its secession from Iraq. Specifically, the authors analyze the interests of three key regional neighbors — the Iraqi central government, Turkey, and Iran — and explore policies each actor may pursue in response to Kurdish independence. The authors discuss the possible responses of Baghdad, Ankara, and Tehran under three different scenarios: a unilateral declaration of Kurdish independence that is broadly opposed by the region, a "last man standing" scenario in which the Iraqi state collapses and the Kurdistan Regional Government becomes an independent state, and a gradual estrangement between Erbil and Baghdad. The authors also consider how each of these scenarios could be influenced by a resurgence of Kurdish nationalism in which Kurdish populations in Iran, Turkey, or Syria not only support the establishment of a sovereign Kurdistan in northern Iraq, but even seek to join the new nation. |
| URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1400/RR1452/RAND_RR1452.pdf
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27171
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略
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| RAND_RR1452.pdf（1636KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Alireza Nader,Larry Hanauer,Brenna Allen,et al. Regional Implications of an Independent Kurdistan. 2016-01-01.
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