| DOI: | 10.7249/RR1253
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| 报告号: | RR-1253-A
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| 报告题名: | Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank: Wargaming the Defense of the Baltics |
| 作者: | David A. Shlapak; Michael Johnson
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| 出版者: | RAND Corporation
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 发表日期: | 2016
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| 总页数: | 16
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Russia
; North Atlantic Treaty Organization
; Threat Assessment
; Latvia
; Lithuania
; Wargaming
; Estonia
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| 英文摘要: | Russia's recent aggression against Ukraine has disrupted nearly a generation of relative peace and stability between Moscow and its Western neighbors and raised concerns about its larger intentions. From the perspective of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), the threat to the three Baltic republics of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania — former Soviet republics, now member states that border Russian territory — may be the most problematic of these. In a series of war games conducted between summer 2014 and spring 2015, RAND Arroyo Center examined the shape and probable outcome of a near-term Russian invasion of the Baltic states. The games' findings are unambiguous: As presently postured, NATO cannot successfully defend the territory of its most exposed members. Fortunately, it will not require Herculean effort to avoid such a failure. Further gaming indicates that a force of about seven brigades, including three heavy armored brigades — adequately supported by airpower, land-based fires, and other enablers on the ground and ready to fight at the onset of hostilities — could suffice to prevent the rapid overrun of the Baltic states. |
| URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1200/RR1253/RAND_RR1253.pdf
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27190
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略
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| RAND_RR1253.pdf（1522KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
David A. Shlapak,Michael Johnson. Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank: Wargaming the Defense of the Baltics. 2016-01-01.
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