| DOI: | 10.7249/RR1468
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| 报告号: | RR-1468-RC
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| 报告题名: | Russia's Medium-Term Economic Prospects |
| 作者: | Keith Crane; Shanthi Nataraj; Patrick B. Johnston; Gursel Rafig oglu Aliyev
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| 出版者: | RAND Corporation
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 发表日期: | 2016
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| 总页数: | 93
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Economic Policy
; Russia
; RAND-initiated
; International Trade
; Economic Planning
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| 英文摘要: | Russia enjoyed a decade of rapid economic growth between 1999 and 2008. Following a recession in 2009, Russia recovered slowly until the end of 2014. In 2015, Russia fell into another downturn, primarily caused by the sharp fall in the price of oil; the ensuing depreciation of the ruble and corresponding increases in inflation; rising policy barriers to private economic activity; a loss of investor confidence stemming from Putin's economic, political, and foreign policies; and Western sanctions on key parts of the Russian financial and energy sectors. This report takes stock of the medium-term outlook for the Russian economy. It finds that, without major policy changes, the Russian economy will grow slowly in the medium term, even if world market prices for oil rebound sharply by the end of the decade. However, there is much that the Russian government could do internally to accelerate growth. A combination of an aggressive program to privatize state-owned assets, clamping down on corruption, and improving the business environment should accelerate growth in total factor productivity. |
| URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1400/RR1468/RAND_RR1468.pdf
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27241
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略
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| RAND_RR1468.pdf（731KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Keith Crane,Shanthi Nataraj,Patrick B. Johnston,et al. Russia's Medium-Term Economic Prospects. 2016-01-01.
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