DOI: | 10.7249/RR896
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报告号: | RR-896-RC
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报告题名: | Are Changing Constituencies Driving Rising Polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives? |
作者: | Jesse Sussell; James A. Thomson
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出版者: | RAND Corporation
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出版年: | 2015
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发表日期: | 2015
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总页数: | 62
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国家: | 美国
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语种: | 英语
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英文关键词: | United States
; Alumni
; Demography
; RAND-initiated
; Regression Analysis
; Democracy
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英文摘要: | This report addresses two questions: first, whether the spatial distribution of the American electorate has become more geographically clustered over the last 40 years with respect to party voting and socioeconomic attributes; and second, whether this clustering process has contributed to rising polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives. We find support for both hypotheses and estimate that long-term geographical clustering of voters is responsible for roughly 30 percent of the increase in polarization in the House between the 93rd and 112th Congresses. An important ancillary finding is that the within-district percentage of adults who are married dwarfs other socioeconomic variables — including those measuring race, education, income, and urbanicity — as a predictor of local partisanship, as measured by both the party affiliation of the House representative and the presidential vote share. |
URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR800/RR896/RAND_RR896.pdf
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Citation statistics: |
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资源类型: | 研究报告
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标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27362
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Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性 科学计划与规划 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响 气候变化与战略
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RAND_RR896.pdf(1024KB) | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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Recommended Citation: |
Jesse Sussell,James A. Thomson. Are Changing Constituencies Driving Rising Polarization in the U.S. House of Representatives?. 2015-01-01.
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