| DOI: | 10.7249/RR1069
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| 报告号: | RR-1069-MCIA
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| 报告题名: | From Negative to Positive Stability: How the Syrian Refugee Crisis Can Improve Jordan's Outlook |
| 作者: | Ben Connable
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| 出版者: | RAND Corporation
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| 出版年: | 2015
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| 发表日期: | 2015
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| 总页数: | 72
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Syria
; Security Cooperation
; Jordan
; International Humanitarian Assistance
; Water Resources Management
; Refugees
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| 英文摘要: | As of late 2014, many American and Jordanian experts believe Jordan to be stable. Yet while Jordan is stable, it faces a range of existing and emerging challenges. These include chronic unemployment, sporadic political unrest, budget deficits, a water shortage, and geographically isolated yet troubling internal security concerns. The Syrian refugee crisis both exacerbates these challenges and offers opportunities to the government of Jordan. If the Syrian refugees remain relatively content and continue to assimilate into northern and central Jordan, they might directly benefit the Jordanian economy by stimulating growth. Donors and lenders have increased their support to Jordan, in turn offering the government an opportunity to improve the lives of both Syrian refugees and Jordanian citizens. Most important, Jordan benefits from what one expert terms negative stability: Jordanian citizens might be dissatisfied with many aspects of their government, but the chaos in neighboring states has thus far dissuaded Jordanians from pursuing civil or violent actions that might destabilize Jordan. Jordanians do not want their country to look like Syria, Iraq, or Egypt. Jordan is likely to undergo further and perhaps unforeseen challenges in 2015 and 2016, but it has the opportunity to alleviate many of its enduring challenges. If Jordan wisely invests forthcoming international refugee support, it has the opportunity to shift popular outlook from negative to positive — and more optimistic — stability. This report's analytic forecasts should help the United States determine how to support Jordan as it faces the Syrian refugee crisis. |
| URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1000/RR1069/RAND_RR1069.pdf
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27614
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略
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| RAND_RR1069.pdf（1945KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Ben Connable. From Negative to Positive Stability: How the Syrian Refugee Crisis Can Improve Jordan's Outlook. 2015-01-01.
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