| DOI: | 10.7249/RR498
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| 报告号: | RR-498-ARA
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| 报告题名: | A Surprise Out of Zion? Case Studies in Israel's Decisions on Whether to Alert the United States to Preemptive and Preventive Strikes, from Suez to the Syrian Nuclear Reactor |
| 作者: | Warren Bass
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| 出版者: | RAND Corporation
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| 出版年: | 2015
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| 发表日期: | 2015
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| 总页数: | 88
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | International Diplomacy
; Nuclear Deterrence
; United States
; Israel
; Arms Proliferation and Control
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| 英文摘要: | Might U.S. officials be surprised by an Israeli strike on Iran's nuclear facilities? This study examines some key historical precedents, considering four key cases in which Israeli prime ministers chose preemptive or preventive military strikes and had to decide whether to notify or consult with the United States: the Suez crisis of 1956, the Six-Day War of 1967, the 1981 strike on Iraq's nuclear reactor, and the 2007 bombing of the mysterious Syrian nuclear facility known as al-Kibar. The Eisenhower and Reagan administrations were indeed surprised by Israel's actions in 1956 and 1981, but U.S.-Israel relations were put under far less strain by the bilateral discussions that preceded Israeli military action in 1967 and 2007. With the widening and deepening of the U.S.-Israel special relationship over the decades, Israeli prime ministers will have to think very carefully before choosing confrontation over consultation with the United States. |
| URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR400/RR498/RAND_RR498.pdf
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27855
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略
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| RAND_RR498.pdf（406KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Warren Bass. A Surprise Out of Zion? Case Studies in Israel's Decisions on Whether to Alert the United States to Preemptive and Preventive Strikes, from Suez to the Syrian Nuclear Reactor. 2015-01-01.
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