| DOI: | 10.7249/RR576
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| 报告号: | RR-576-A
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| 报告题名: | The Future of the Army’s Civilian Workforce: Comparing Projected Inventory with Anticipated Requirements and Estimating Cost Under Different Personnel Policies |
| 作者: | Shanthi Nataraj; Lawrence M. Hanser; Frank Camm; Jessica Yeats
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| 出版者: | RAND Corporation
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| 出版年: | 2014
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| 发表日期: | 2014
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| 总页数: | 92
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Military Budgets and Defense Spending
; Employment and Unemployment
; Military Force Planning
; United States Army
; Civilian Military Workforce
; Students
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| 英文摘要: | In keeping with the coming drawdown in military end strength, the Department of Defense is planning to scale back its civilian workforce over the next several years. After reaching nearly 295,000 full-time employees in fiscal year (FY) 2010, the size of Army's civilian workforce has started to fall. It is necessary to manage this drawdown so that sufficient people remain available in key positions. The authors projected the future supply of Army civilians under various scenarios and examined how the Army might manage supply to meet projected demand, by bringing together workforce supply and demand models. The RAND Inventory Model was used to project the supply of Army civilians, by command and occupation, based on historical patterns of internal transfers and separations, and various scenarios for future hiring. The supply projections were matched with demand projections from RAND's Generating-Force-to-Operator model, which translates budgets for the Army's operating force into projected changes in the institutional Army, to estimate the numbers of new hires or force reductions needed to meet the demand for civilians. The findings suggest that meeting future targets will require reducing hiring rates below historical levels but that substantial hiring will still be needed in most commands. If demand drops considerably below current projections, larger cuts would likely be required. Workforce cost is projected to change largely in line with the number of personnel. If requirements based on the FY 2014 President's Budget are met by FY 2017, nominal costs are projected to remain approximately constant, with expected civilian pay raises offsetting workforce reductions. |
| URL: | http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR500/RR576/RAND_RR576.pdf
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/28075
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| Appears in Collections: | 影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略
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| RAND_RR576.pdf（813KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Shanthi Nataraj,Lawrence M. Hanser,Frank Camm,et al. The Future of the Army’s Civilian Workforce: Comparing Projected Inventory with Anticipated Requirements and Estimating Cost Under Different Personnel Policies. 2014-01-01.
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