globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.2172/1136784
报告号: DOE-UCSD-0004940-Final
报告题名:
An Interactive Multi-Model for Consensus on Climate Change
作者: Kocarev, Ljupco
出版年: 2014
发表日期: 2014-07-02
国家: 美国
语种: 英语
英文关键词: weather/climate models ; weather predictions ; climate projections ; ensemble modeling ; imperfect models
英文摘要: This project purports to develop a new scheme for forming consensus among alternative climate models, that give widely divergent projections as to the details of climate change, that is more intelligent than simply averaging the model outputs, or averaging with ex post facto weighting factors. The method under development effectively allows models to assimilate data from one another in run time with weights that are chosen in an adaptive training phase using 20th century data, so that the models synchronize with one another as well as with reality. An alternate approach that is being explored in parallel is the automated combination of equations from different models in an expert-system-like framework.
URL: http://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/1136784
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资源类型: 研究报告
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/41484
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建
影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
全球变化的国际研究计划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: University of California, San Diego

Recommended Citation:
Kocarev, Ljupco. An Interactive Multi-Model for Consensus on Climate Change. 2014-01-01.
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