| DOI: | 10.2172/1215283
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| 报告号: | NREL/TP--6A20-64297
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| 报告题名: | Predicting the Response of Electricity Load to Climate Change |
| 作者: | Sullivan, Patrick; Colman, Jesse; Kalendra, Eric
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| 出版年: | 2015
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| 发表日期: | 2015-07-28
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| 总页数: | 21
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| 国家: | 美国
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Electricity
; Load
; Climate Change
; Temperature
; ReEDS
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| 中文主题词: | 电力
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| 主题词: | ELECTRICITY
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| 英文摘要: | Our purpose is to develop a methodology to quantify the impact of climate change on electric loads in the United States. We perform simple linear regression, assisted by geospatial smoothing, on paired temperature and load time-series to estimate the heating- and coolinginduced sensitivity to temperature across 300 transmission zones and 16 seasonal and diurnal time periods. The estimated load sensitivities can be coupled with climate scenarios to quantify the potential impact of climate change on load, with a primary application being long-term electricity scenarios. The method allows regional and seasonal differences in climate and load response to be reflected in the electricity scenarios. While the immediate product of this analysis was designed to mesh with the spatial and temporal resolution of a specific electricity model to enable climate change scenarios and analysis with that model, we also propose that the process could be applied for other models and purposes. |
| URL: | http://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/1215283
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 研究报告
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/41813
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| Appears in Collections: | 过去全球变化的重建
影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
全球变化的国际研究计划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
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| 1215283.pdf（943KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Sullivan, Patrick,Colman, Jesse,Kalendra, Eric. Predicting the Response of Electricity Load to Climate Change. 2015-01-01.
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