| DOI: | 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0892.1
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-85021080905
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| 论文题名: | Impact of anthropogenic climate change on the East Asian summer monsoon |
| 作者: | Burke C.; Stott P.
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| 刊名: | Journal of Climate
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| ISSN: | 8948755
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| 出版年: | 2017
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| 卷: | 30, 期:14 | | 起始页码: | 5205
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| 结束页码: | 5220
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| 语种: | 英语
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| Scopus关键词: | Atmospheric thermodynamics
; Climate models
; Gas emissions
; Greenhouse gases
; Rain
; Anthropogenic climate changes
; Asia
; East Asian summer monsoon
; Extreme rainfall
; Historical trends
; Monsoon rainfall
; Monsoons
; Statistical techniques
; Climate change
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| 英文摘要: | The East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is important for bringing rainfall to large areas of China. Historically, variations in the EASM have had major impacts including flooding and drought. The authors present an analysis of the impact of anthropogenic climate change on EASM rainfall in eastern China using a newly updated attribution system. The results suggest that anthropogenic climate change has led to an overall decrease in total monsoon rainfall over the past 65 years and an increased number of dry days. However, the model also predicts that anthropogenic forcings have caused the most extreme heavy rainfall events to become shorter in duration and more intense. With the potential for future changes in aerosol and greenhouse gas emissions, historical trends in monsoon rainfall may not be indicative of future changes, although extreme rainfall is projected to increase over East Asia with continued warming in the region. © 2017 American Meteorological Society. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/48846
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Burke C.,Stott P.. Impact of anthropogenic climate change on the East Asian summer monsoon[J]. Journal of Climate,2017-01-01,30(14)
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