globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: doi:10.1038/nclimate2362
论文题名:
Practitioners' work and evidence in IPCC reports
作者: David Viner
刊名: Nature Climate Change
ISSN: 1758-1149X
EISSN: 1758-7269
出版年: 2014-09-25
卷: Volume:4, 页码:Pages:848;850 (2014)
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Scientific community ; Climate-change impacts ; Decision making
英文摘要:

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports provide the most reliable and robust assessment of understanding of the climate system. However, they do not include practitioner-based evidence, which is fundamental to make the reports a relevant source of information for decision-making.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is increasing efforts to communicate its results more clearly to a wide audience in a way that limits confusion and increases their use. A clear example is offered by the 'headline statements' from the Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I (WGI) contribution to the fifth assessment report (AR5)1, which summarizes the overarching conclusions. The IPCC WGI report provides the scientific evidence for international negotiations on mitigation targets, from which individual countries drive national policies and their own negotiating positions (Fig. 1). Increasingly, they are used by engineers, policymakers and other practitioners to develop climate change risk frameworks and vulnerability assessments.

Figure 1: The academic community merely observes practical actions to address climate change resilience but does not include the practitioner community in the process of systematic review of evidence, such as the IPCC process.
The academic community merely observes practical actions to address climate change resilience but does not include the practitioner community in the process of systematic review of evidence, such as the IPCC process.

This lack of integration hinders a full and realistic assessment of available evidence with the risk of developing potentially less effective policies.

The UK government's response to the Somerset flooding in January 2014 demonstrates the need for the academic and practitioner communities to work together to shape policy responses and to deliver solutions on the ground. In that case, the initial rapid response was mainly based on local public (and political) opinion. Engineers and academics with the appropriate expertise in catchment management of flood mitigation design were consulted only later in the process. We think that incorporating a similar proactive and collaborative approach into the formulation of recommendations in the IPCC reports, although at an earlier stage, would better inform the decision-making process (Fig. 2). Rather than being brought in to fix and rebuild, they would have contributed to the construction of climate-resilient infrastructure in the first place.

Figure 2: Integrating policy, practitioner and academic evidence will deliver meaningful comprehensive assessment processes better equipped to inform new policy decisions.

If the research produced by the IPCC WGII, and the adaptation community more generally, is to be fully utilized in practice, we strongly recommend that the IPCC and other official assessment processes engage with practitioner communities by integrating them in the design, and writing, of assessments — in this way the language, style and results can meet the needs of the end user.

As a simple example, practitioners from the engineering community understand the term resilience much more than adaptation — engineers strive to build infrastructure and systems that are 'resilient' to various shocks. We recommend that this term takes primacy over the term adaptation.

Practitioners can actively contribute to the participatory approach needed for building climate resilience. Such a participatory process would allow the co-production of knowledge to support decision-makers5. Furthermore, as an ongoing process, it would allow the management and adjustment of expectations about how the research undertaken by practitioners can be incorporated through the process, from research design, review and policy information. Incorporating practitioners' experience at the outset of the process would help to understand how to assess, measure and reduce unanticipated costs as well as address contentious issues such as risk and uncertainty. Practitioners are used to working under uncertainty and risk in many different contexts (including cultural, geographical and political), where flexibility through use of cost–benefit analyses is a standard practice. This process would benefit the IPCC WGII by widening the pool of research and practical solutions covered, making the reviews more relevant to decision-makers and by incorporation of more transparent language and terminology (such as climate change resilience) in future assessments.

The IPCC process provides the most compelling account of evidence about climate science through the working group reports and yet, the forthcoming Synthesis Report would benefit significantly from incorporation of practitioner experience of climate solutions implementation. Co-production of knowledge, across academic, political and practitioner communities, would frame, structure and deliver climate action. Such a process will ensure that future IPCC reports are more up-to-date, robust and complete in their analysis and that the climate change resilience solutions proposed incorporate the most practically viable research.

  1. http://go.nature.com/H9a8Nq
  2. Coumou, D. & Rahmstorf, S. Nature Clim. Change 2, 491496 (2012).
  3. http://go.nature.com/DRhXIx
  4. Conway, D. & Mustelin, J. Nature Clim. Change 4, 339342 (2014).
  5. Pidgeon, N. & Fischhoff, B. Nature Clim. Change 1, 3541 (2011).

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Affiliations

  1. David Viner is at Mott MacDonald, Demeter House, Station Road, Cambridge CB1 2RS, UK

  2. Candice Howarth is at the Global Sustainability Institute, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge CB1 1PT, UK

URL: http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n10/full/nclimate2362.html
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/4975
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略

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David Viner. Practitioners' work and evidence in IPCC reports[J]. Nature Climate Change,2014-09-25,Volume:4:Pages:848;850 (2014).
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