globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0213.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85012273924
论文题名:
Historical land-cover change impacts on climate: Comparative assessment of LUCID and CMIP5 multimodel experiments
作者: Lejeune Q.; Seneviratne S.I.; Davin E.L.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2017
卷: 30, 期:4
起始页码: 1439
结束页码: 1459
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Deforestation ; Earth atmosphere ; Evaporative cooling systems ; Evapotranspiration ; Heat flux ; Land use ; Solar radiation ; Surface measurement ; Anthropogenic effects ; Atmosphere-land interactions ; Biosphere-atmosphere interactions ; General circulation model ; Land surface modeling ; Situ atmospheric observations ; Climate models ; anthropogenic effect ; atmosphere-biosphere interaction ; climate modeling ; comparative study ; general circulation model ; historical perspective ; in situ measurement ; land cover
英文摘要: During the industrial period, many regions experienced a reduction in forest cover and an expansion of agricultural areas, in particular North America, northern Eurasia, and South Asia. Here, results from the Land-Use and Climate, Identification of Robust Impacts (LUCID) and CMIP5 model intercomparison projects are compared in order to investigate how land-cover changes (LCC) in these regions have locally impacted the biophysical land surface properties, like albedo and evapotranspiration, and how this has affected seasonal mean temperature as well as its diurnal cycle. The impact of LCC is extracted from climate simulations, including all historical forcings, using a method that is shown to capture well the sign and the seasonal cycle of the impacts diagnosed from single-forcing experiments in most cases. The model comparison reveals that both the LUCID and CMIP5 models agree on the albedo-induced reduction of mean winter temperatures over midlatitudes. In contrast, there is less agreement concerning the response of the latent heat flux and, subsequently, mean temperature during summer, when evaporative cooling plays a more important role. Overall, a majority of models exhibit a local warming effect of LCC during this season, contrasting with results from the LUCID studies. A striking result is that none of the analyzed models reproduce well the changes in the diurnal cycle identified in present-day observations of the effect of deforestation. However, overall the CMIP5 models better simulate the observed summer daytime warming effect compared to the LUCID models, as well as the winter nighttime cooling effect. © 2017 American Meteorological Society.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/49848
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland

Recommended Citation:
Lejeune Q.,Seneviratne S.I.,Davin E.L.. Historical land-cover change impacts on climate: Comparative assessment of LUCID and CMIP5 multimodel experiments[J]. Journal of Climate,2017-01-01,30(4)
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