DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00503.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84994036925
论文题名: Assessing surface solar radiation fluxes in the CMIP ensembles
作者: Loew A. ; Andersson A. ; Trentmann J. ; Schröder M.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2016
卷: 29, 期: 20 起始页码: 7231
结束页码: 7246
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Budget control
; Earth (planet)
; Radiation
; Remote sensing
; Solar radiation
; Climate record
; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
; Multidecadal variability
; Quantitative assessments
; Radiation budget
; Satellite observations
; Short-wave radiation
; Surface solar radiation
; Climate models
; algorithm
; climate modeling
; climatology
; ensemble forecasting
; radiation budget
; remote sensing
; shortwave radiation
; solar radiation
英文摘要: Earth system models are indispensable tools in climate studies. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) is a coordinated effort of the Earth system modeling community to intercompare existing models. An accurate simulation of surface solar radiation fluxes is of major importance for the accuracy of simulations of the near-surface climate in Earth system models. The present study provides a quantitative assessment of the accuracy and multidecadal changes of surface solar radiation fluxes for model results from two phases of CMIP. The entire archives of phase 5 of CMIP (CMIP5) and its predecessor phase 3 (CMIP3) are analyzed for present-day climate conditions. A relative model ranking is provided, and its uncertainty is quantified using different global observational records. It is shown that the choice of an observational dataset can have a major influence on relative model ranking between CMIP models. However the multidecadal variability of surface solar radiation fluxes, also known as global "dimming" or "brightening," is largely underestimated by the CMIP models. © 2016 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/50064
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany; Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany; Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany; Satellite-Based Climate Monitoring, Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Loew A.,Andersson A.,Trentmann J.,et al. Assessing surface solar radiation fluxes in the CMIP ensembles[J]. Journal of Climate,2016-01-01,29(20)