DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0585.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84957818790
论文题名: Climate mechanism for stronger typhoons in a warmer world
作者: Kang N.-Y. ; Elsner J.B.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2016
卷: 29, 期: 3 起始页码: 1051
结束页码: 1057
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric pressure
; Global warming
; Hurricanes
; Statistics
; Storms
; Tropics
; Air pressures
; Deep convection
; Statistical techniques
; Thermodynamic changes
; Tropical cyclone
; Tropical troposphere
; Typhoon intensities
; Western North Pacific
; Climate change
; catastrophic event
; climate modeling
; cyclogenesis
; global warming
; mathematical analysis
; typhoon
; wind velocity
; Pacific Ocean
; Pacific Ocean (North)
英文摘要: Violent typhoons continue to have catastrophic impacts on economies and welfare, but how they are responding to global warming has yet to be fully understood. Here, an empirical framework is used to explain physically why observations support a tight connection between increasing ocean warmth and the increasing intensity of supertyphoons in the western North Pacific. It is shown that the energy needed for deep convection is on the rise with greater heat and moisture in the lower tropical troposphere but that this energy remains untapped when air pressure is high. Accordingly, tropical cyclone formation is becoming less common, but those that do form are likely to reach extreme intensities from the discharge of stored energy. These thermodynamic changes to the environment most significantly influence the upper portion of extreme typhoon intensities, indicating that supertyphoons are likely to be stronger at the expense of overall tropical cyclone occurrences in the western North Pacific. © 2016 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/50103
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: National Typhoon Center, Korea Meteorological Administration, Jeju, South Korea; Department of Geography, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States
Recommended Citation:
Kang N.-Y.,Elsner J.B.. Climate mechanism for stronger typhoons in a warmer world[J]. Journal of Climate,2016-01-01,29(3)