DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0030.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84977589268
论文题名: Does the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation get its predictability from the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation?
作者: Trenary L. ; DelSole T.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2016
卷: 29, 期: 14 起始页码: 5267
结束页码: 5280
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Forecasting
; Oceanography
; Optimization
; Statistical methods
; Climate prediction
; Decadal variability
; Multidecadal variability
; Statistical techniques
; Variability
; Climate models
; Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
; climate modeling
; climate prediction
; decadal variation
; meridional circulation
; optimization
; overturn
; statistical analysis
英文摘要: This paper investigates the predictive relation between the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and Atlantic meridional overturning circulation across different climate models. Three overturning patterns that are significantly coupled to the AMO on interannual time scales across all climate models are identified using a statistical optimization technique. Including these structures in an autoregressive model extends AMO predictability by 2-9 years, relative to an autoregressive model without these structures. © 2016 American Meteorological Society. 资助项目: NSF, National Science Foundation
; NOAA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
; NASA, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/50249
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Trenary L.,DelSole T.. Does the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation get its predictability from the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation?[J]. Journal of Climate,2016-01-01,29(14)