DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0188.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84947813015
论文题名: Extremely intense hurricanes: Revisiting Webster et al. (2005) after 10 years
作者: Klotzbach P.J. ; Landsea C.W.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2015
卷: 28, 期: 19 起始页码: 7621
结束页码: 7629
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Aluminum
; Climate change
; Storms
; Tropics
; Weather forecasting
; Accumulated cyclone energies
; Hurricanes/typhoons
; Tropical cyclone
; Tropical variability
; Upward trend
; Warning centers
; Hurricanes
; climate change
; extreme event
; hurricane
; trend analysis
英文摘要: Ten years ago, Webster et al. documented a large and significant increase in both the number as well as the percentage of category 4 and 5 hurricanes for all global basins from 1970 to 2004, and this manuscript examines whether those trends have continued when including 10 additional years of data. In contrast to that study, as shown here, the global frequency of category 4 and 5 hurricanes has shown a small, insignificant downward trend while the percentage of category 4 and 5 hurricanes has shown a small, insignificant upward trend between 1990 and 2014. Accumulated cyclone energy globally has experienced a large and significant downward trend during the same period. The primary reason for the increase in category 4 and 5 hurricanes noted in observational datasets from1970 to 2004 byWebster et al. is concluded to be due to observational improvements at the various global tropical cyclone warning centers, primarily in the first two decades of that study. © 2015 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/50762
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States; NOAA/NWS/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, United States
Recommended Citation:
Klotzbach P.J.,Landsea C.W.. Extremely intense hurricanes: Revisiting Webster et al. (2005) after 10 years[J]. Journal of Climate,2015-01-01,28(19)