DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0216.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84950121630
论文题名: Simulation and prediction of category 4 and 5 hurricanes in the high-resolution GFDL HiFLOR coupled climate model
作者: Murakami H. ; Vecchi G.A. ; Underwood S. ; Delworth T.L. ; Wittenberg A.T. ; Anderson W.G. ; Chen J.-H. ; Gudgel R.G. ; Harris L.M. ; Lin S.-J. ; Zeng F.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2015
卷: 28, 期: 23 起始页码: 9058
结束页码: 9079
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric temperature
; Climatology
; Forecasting
; Hurricanes
; Mesh generation
; Oceanography
; Sea ice
; Storms
; Surface waters
; Climate prediction
; Geophysical fluid dynamics laboratories
; Hindcasts
; Madden-Julian oscillation
; Prediction of tropical cyclone
; Sea surface temperature (SST)
; Seasonal and interannual variations
; Tropical cyclone
; Climate models
; air-sea interaction
; annual variation
; climate modeling
; climate prediction
; computer simulation
; fluid dynamics
; hindcasting
; hurricane
; Madden-Julian oscillation
; tropical cyclone
; weather forecasting
英文摘要: A new high-resolution Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) coupled model [the High-Resolution Forecast-Oriented Low Ocean Resolution (FLOR) model (HiFLOR)] has been developed and used to investigate potential skill in simulation and prediction of tropical cyclone (TC) activity. HiFLOR comprises high-resolution (~25-km mesh) atmosphere and land components and a more moderate-resolution (~100-km mesh) sea ice and ocean component. HiFLOR was developed from FLOR by decreasing the horizontal grid spacing of the atmospheric component from 50 to 25 km, while leaving most of the subgrid-scale physical parameterizations unchanged. Compared with FLOR, HiFLOR yields a more realistic simulation of the structure, global distribution, and seasonal and interannual variations of TCs, as well as a comparable simulation of storm-induced cold wakes and TC-genesis modulation induced by the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO). Moreover, HiFLOR is able to simulate and predict extremely intense TCs (Saffir-Simpson hurricane categories 4 and 5) and their interannual variations, which represents the first time a global coupled model has been able to simulate such extremely intense TCs in a multicentury simulation, sea surface temperature restoring simulations, and retrospective seasonal predictions. © 2015 American Meteorological Society. 资助项目: DOC, U.S. Department of Commerce
; NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/50859
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Engility, NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
Recommended Citation:
Murakami H.,Vecchi G.A.,Underwood S.,et al. Simulation and prediction of category 4 and 5 hurricanes in the high-resolution GFDL HiFLOR coupled climate model[J]. Journal of Climate,2015-01-01,28(23)