DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00470.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84904508344
论文题名: Northern hemisphere climatology and trends of statistical moments documented from GHCN-daily surface air temperature station data from 1950 to 2010
作者: Cavanaugh N.R. ; Shen S.S.P.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2014
卷: 27, 期: 14 起始页码: 5396
结束页码: 5410
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric temperature
; Climate change
; Climatology
; Higher order statistics
; Probability distributions
; Temperature
; Uncertainty analysis
; Anomalies
; Climate variability
; Coherent spatial patterns
; Intraseasonal variability
; Linear regression coefficients
; Mean and standard deviations
; Surface air temperatures
; Trends
; Statistics
; air temperature
; climate change
; climate modeling
; climate variation
; numerical model
; probability
; regression analysis
; seasonal variation
; temporal variation
; uncertainty analysis
英文摘要: The first four statistical moments and their trends are calculated for the average daily surface air temperature (SAT) from 1950 to 2010 using the Global Historical Climatology Network-Daily station data for each season relative to the 1961-90 climatology over the Northern Hemisphere. Temporal variation of daily SAT probability distributions are represented as generalized linear regression coefficients on the mean, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis calculated for each 10-yr moving time window from 1950-59 to 2001-10. The climatology and trends of these statistical moments suggest that daily SAT probability distributions are non-Gaussian and are changing in time. The climatology of the first four statistical moments has distinct spatial patterns with large coherent structure for mean and standard deviation and relatively smaller and more regionalized patterns for skewness and kurtosis. The linear temporal trends from 1950 to 2010 of the first four moments also have coherent spatial patterns. The linear temporal trends in the characterizing statistical moments are statistically significant at most locations and have differing spatial patterns for different moments. The regionalized variations specific to higher moments may be related to the climate dynamics that contribute to extremes. The nonzero skewness and kurtosis makes this detailed documentation on the higher statistical moments useful for quantifying climate changes and assessing climate model uncertainties. © 2014 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/50992
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Cavanaugh N.R.,Shen S.S.P.. Northern hemisphere climatology and trends of statistical moments documented from GHCN-daily surface air temperature station data from 1950 to 2010[J]. Journal of Climate,2014-01-01,27(14)