DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00540.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84888036198
论文题名: Dependence of precipitation scaling patterns on emission scenarios for representative concentration pathways
作者: Ishizaki Y. ; Shiogama H. ; Emori S. ; Yokohata T. ; Nozawa T. ; Takahashi K. ; Ogura T. ; Yoshimori M. ; Nagashima T.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2013
卷: 26, 期: 22 起始页码: 8868
结束页码: 8879
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Aerosol emissions
; Global climate model
; Long-wave radiation
; Polar amplifications
; Precipitation scaling
; Regional climate changes
; Short-wave radiation
; Southern Annular Mode
; Climate models
; Evaporation
; Experiments
; Global warming
; Aerosols
; aerosol
; climate change
; emission
; evaporation
; global climate
; global warming
; longwave radiation
; precipitation assessment
; regional climate
; sensible heat flux
; shortwave radiation
英文摘要: Pattern scaling is an efficient way to generate projections of regional climate change for various emission scenarios. This approach assumes that the spatial pattern of changes per degree of global warming (scaling pattern) is the same among emission scenarios. The hypothesis was tested for the scaling pattern of precipitation by focusing on the scenario dependence of aerosol scaling patterns. The scenario dependence of aerosol scaling patterns induced the scenario dependence of the surface shortwave radiation scaling pattern. The scenario dependence of the surface shortwave radiation scaling pattern over the ocean tended to induce the scenario dependence of evaporation scaling patterns. The scenario dependence of evaporation scaling patterns led to the scenario dependence of precipitation scaling patterns locally and downwind. Contrariwise, when the scenario dependence of aerosol scaling patterns occurred over land, the scenario dependence of surface shortwave radiation scaling patterns induced the scenario dependence of the scaling patterns of evaporation, surface longwave radiation, and sensible heat. Consequently, the scenario dependence of evaporation scaling patterns was smaller over land, and the scenario dependence of precipitation scaling patterns tended to be insignificant. Moreover, the scenario dependence of the southern annular mode and polar amplification caused some of the scenario dependence of precipitation scaling patterns. In this study, only one global climate mode was analyzed. In addition, sensitivity experiments that remove aerosol emissions from some regions or some kinds of aerosols are ideal to separate the impacts of aerosols. Thus, an analysis of the dependencies of precipitation scaling pattern among global climate models and the sensitivity experiments are required in future work. © 2013 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/51556
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba-City, Ibaraki, Japan; Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa-shi, Chiba, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Ishizaki Y.,Shiogama H.,Emori S.,et al. Dependence of precipitation scaling patterns on emission scenarios for representative concentration pathways[J]. Journal of Climate,2013-01-01,26(22)