DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00007.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84877829819
论文题名: Seasonal changes in solar radiation and relative humidity in europe in response to global warming
作者: Ruosteenoja K. ; Räisänen P.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2013
卷: 26, 期: 8 起始页码: 2467
结束页码: 2481
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: A2 and b1 scenarios
; Balkan peninsulas
; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
; Individual models
; Model ensembles
; Moisture damage
; Seasonal changes
; Southern Europe
; Global warming
; Sun
; Solar radiation
; atmospheric moisture
; climate change
; ensemble forecasting
; global warming
; North Atlantic Oscillation
; relative humidity
; seasonal variation
; solar radiation
; Balkans
英文摘要: Future seasonal changes in surface incident solar radiation and relative humidity (RH) over Europe and adjacent ocean areas were assessed based on phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3) model ensemble. Under the A1B scenario, by 2070-99, summertime solar radiation is projected to increase by 5%-10% in central and southern Europe. In winter, radiation decreases in most of northern and eastern Europe by 5%-15%. RH drops in summer in the southern European inland by 8%-12%, whereas in winter a small increase of 2%-3% is projected for northeastern Europe. In spring, the change is an intermediate between those in the extreme seasons, while in autumn the patterns resemble summer. Over the northern Atlantic Ocean, RH increases in all seasons by 1%-2%. The intermodel agreement on the sign of all these shifts is good, and the patterns recur in the responses to the A2 and B1 scenarios. Substantial changes are already simulated to occur before the midcentury, for example, in summer RH decreases by more than 5% in the inner Balkan Peninsula. Projected changes in these two variables agree well and are also mainly consistent with precipitation responses both in the multimodel mean and in individual models. According to all indicators, southern European summers become more arid, while winters, in the north particularly, become moister and darker. The increasing radiation and declining RH exacerbate summertime drought in southern Europe, whereas excessive humidity in the north may, for example, inflict moisture damages in constructions. © 2013 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/51886
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland
Recommended Citation:
Ruosteenoja K.,Räisänen P.. Seasonal changes in solar radiation and relative humidity in europe in response to global warming[J]. Journal of Climate,2013-01-01,26(8)