DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00719.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84865159598
论文题名: Historical global tropical cyclone landfalls
作者: Weinkle J. ; Maue R. ; Pielke R.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2012
卷: 25, 期: 13 起始页码: 4729
结束页码: 4735
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Consistency checks
; Data assimilation
; Data sets
; Economic damages
; Global database
; Landfalling
; Scientific literature
; Societal changes
; Tropical cyclone
; Climate control
; Climatology
; Mathematical models
; Public policy
; Risk assessment
; Hurricanes
; data assimilation
; database
; economic impact
; historical record
; hurricane
; risk assessment
; tropical cyclone
; typhoon
英文摘要: In recent decades, economic damage from tropical cyclones (TCs) around the world has increased dramatically. Scientific literature published to date finds that the increase in losses can be explained entirely by societal changes (such as increasing wealth, structures, population, etc.) in locations prone to tropical cyclone landfalls, rather than by changes in annual storm frequency or intensity. However, no homogenized dataset of global tropical cyclone landfalls has been created that might serve as a consistency check for such economic normalization studies. Using currently available historicalTC best-track records, a global database focused on hurricane-force strength landfalls was constructed. The analysis does not indicate significant long-period global or individual basin trends in the frequency or intensity of landfalling TCs of minor or major hurricane strength. The evidence in this study provides strong support for the conclusion that increasing damage around the world during the past several decades can be explained entirely by increasing wealth in locations prone to TC landfalls, which adds confidence to the fidelity of economic normalization analyses. © 2012 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/52350
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States; National Research Council, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Weinkle J.,Maue R.,Pielke R.. Historical global tropical cyclone landfalls[J]. Journal of Climate,2012-01-01,25(13)