DOI: 10.1016/j.jcou.2016.07.009
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84979496995
论文题名: Prediction of GDP growth rate based on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions
作者: Marjanović V. ; Milovančević M. ; Mladenović I.
刊名: Journal of CO2 Utilization
ISSN: 22129820
出版年: 2016
卷: 16 起始页码: 212
结束页码: 217
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Carbon dioxide
; Economic growth
; Extreme learning machine
; Prediction
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Economics
; Forecasting
; Genetic algorithms
; Genetic programming
; Global warming
; Knowledge acquisition
; Learning systems
; Neural networks
; Carbon dioxide emissions
; Climate change policies
; Computational model
; Economic growths
; Empirical relationships
; Extreme learning machine
; Gross domestic products
; Statistical indicators
; Carbon dioxide
英文摘要: The environment that governs the relationships between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and gross domestic product (GDP) changes over time due to variations in economic growth, regulatory policy and technology. The relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions is considered as one of the most important empirical relationships. However, rigorous economic causal analysis of the tradeoff between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and economic growth for credible climate change policies is still limited. The purpose of this research is to develop and apply the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) to predict GDP based on CO2 emissions. The ELM results are compared with genetic programming (GP) and artificial neural network (ANN). The reliability of the computational models was accessed based on simulation results and using several statistical indicators. Coefficients of determination for ELM, ANN and GP methods were 0.9271, 0.8756 and 0.4475, respectively. Based upon simulation results, it is demonstrated that ELM can be utilized effectively in applications of GDP forecasting. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/52838
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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Recommended Citation:
Marjanović V.,Milovančević M.,Mladenović I.. Prediction of GDP growth rate based on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions[J]. Journal of CO2 Utilization,2016-01-01,16