DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2613-2
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84957427272
论文题名: Anthropogenic footprint of climate change in the June 2013 northern India flood
作者: Cho C. ; Li R. ; Wang S.-Y. ; Yoon J.-H. ; Gillies R.R.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2016
卷: 46, 期: 2017-03-04 起始页码: 797
结束页码: 805
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate and weather interactions
; CMIP5
; Cold air intrusion
; Extreme events
; Greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing
; Synoptic wave train
; WRF model
英文摘要: During 13–17 June 2013, heavy rainfall occurred in the northern Indian state of Uttarakhand and led to one of the worst floods in history and massive landslides, resulting in more than 5000 casualties and a huge loss of property. In this study, meteorological and climatic conditions leading up to this rainfall event in 2013 and similar cases were analyzed for the period of 1979–2012. Attribution analysis was performed to identify the natural and anthropogenic influences on the climate anomalies using the historical single-forcing experiments in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5. In addition, regional modeling experiments were carried out to quantify the role of the long-term climate trends in affecting the rainfall magnitude of the June 2013 event. It was found that (a) northern India has experienced increasingly large rainfall in June since the late 1980s, (b) the increase in rainfall appears to be associated with a tendency in the upper troposphere towards amplified short waves, and (c) the phasing of such amplified short waves is tied to increased loading of green-house gases and aerosols. In addition, a regional modeling diagnosis attributed 60–90 % of rainfall amounts in the June 2013 event to post-1980 climate trends. © 2015, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. 资助项目: DOE, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
; NOAA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/53816
Appears in Collections: 过去全球变化的重建
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作者单位: Utah Climate Center, Utah State University, Logan, UT, United States; Department of Plants, Soils, and Climate, Utah State University, Logan, UT, United States; Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Recommended Citation:
Cho C.,Li R.,Wang S.-Y.,et al. Anthropogenic footprint of climate change in the June 2013 northern India flood[J]. Climate Dynamics,2016-01-01,46(2017-03-04)