DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1825-6
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84894945057
论文题名: Documentary reconstruction of monsoon rainfall variability over western India, 1781-1860
作者: Adamson G.C.D. ; Nash D.J.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2014
卷: 42, 期: 2017-03-04 起始页码: 749
结束页码: 769
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Documentary reconstruction
; ENSO
; Summer monsoon
; Western India
英文摘要: Investigations into the climatic forcings that affect the long-term variability of the Indian summer monsoon are constrained by a lack of reliable rainfall data prior to the late nineteenth century. Extensive qualitative and quantitative meteorological information for the pre-instrumental period exists within historical documents, although these materials have been largely unexplored. This paper presents the first reconstruction of monsoon variability using documentary sources, focussing on western India for the period 1781-1860. Three separate reconstructions are generated, for (1) Mumbai, (2) Pune and (3) the area of Gujarat bordering the Gulf of Khambat. A composite chronology is then produced from the three reconstructions, termed the Western India Monsoon Rainfall reconstruction (WIMR). The WIMR exhibits four periods of generally deficient monsoon rainfall (1780-1785, 1799-1806, 1830-1838 and 1845-1857) and three of above-normal rainfall (1788-1794, 1813-1828 and 1839-1844). The WIMR shows good correspondence with a dendroclimatic drought reconstruction for Kerala, although agreement with the western Indian portion of the tree-ring derived Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas is less strong. The reconstruction is used to examine the long-term relationship between the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and monsoon rainfall over western India. This exhibits peaks and troughs in correlation over time, suggesting a regular long-term fluctuation. This may be an internal oscillation in the ENSO-monsoon system or may be related to volcanic aerosol forcings. Further reconstructions of monsoon rainfall are necessary to validate this. The study highlights uncertainties in existing published rainfall records for 1817-1846 for western India. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
资助项目: INTACH, Indian National Trust for Art and Cultural Heritage
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54313
Appears in Collections: 过去全球变化的重建
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作者单位: School of Environment and Technology, University of Brighton, Lewes Road, Brighton, BN2 4GJ, United Kingdom; School of Geography, Archaeology and Environmental Studies, University of the Witwatersrand, Private Bag 3, Wits, 2050, South Africa
Recommended Citation:
Adamson G.C.D.,Nash D.J.. Documentary reconstruction of monsoon rainfall variability over western India, 1781-1860[J]. Climate Dynamics,2014-01-01,42(2017-03-04)