globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1922-6
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84905114514
论文题名:
Climate model benchmarking with glacial and mid-Holocene climates
作者: Harrison S.P.; Bartlein P.J.; Brewer S.; Prentice I.C.; Boyd M.; Hessler I.; Holmgren K.; Izumi K.; Willis K.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2014
卷: 43, 期:2017-03-04
起始页码: 671
结束页码: 688
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate sensitivity ; Climate-model evaluation ; Last Glacial Maximum ; Mid-Holocene monsoons ; Palaeoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project
英文摘要: Past climates provide a test of models' ability to predict climate change. We present a comprehensive evaluation of state-of-the-art models against Last Glacial Maximum and mid-Holocene climates, using reconstructions of land and ocean climates and simulations from the Palaeoclimate Modelling and Coupled Modelling Intercomparison Projects. Newer models do not perform better than earlier versions despite higher resolution and complexity. Differences in climate sensitivity only weakly account for differences in model performance. In the glacial, models consistently underestimate land cooling (especially in winter) and overestimate ocean surface cooling (especially in the tropics). In the mid-Holocene, models generally underestimate the precipitation increase in the northern monsoon regions, and overestimate summer warming in central Eurasia. Models generally capture large-scale gradients of climate change but have more limited ability to reproduce spatial patterns. Despite these common biases, some models perform better than others. © 2013 The Author(s).
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54518
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Department of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW, 2109, Australia; Centre for Past Climate Change and School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Sciences, University of Reading, Whiteknights, Reading, RG6 6AH, United Kingdom; Department of Geography, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, United States; Geography Department, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States; AXA Chair of Biosphere and Climate Impacts, Department of Life Sciences and Grantham Institute for Climate Change, Imperial College, Silwood Park, Ascot, SL5 7PY, United Kingdom; Bert Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden; MARUM, Centre for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Harrison S.P.,Bartlein P.J.,Brewer S.,et al. Climate model benchmarking with glacial and mid-Holocene climates[J]. Climate Dynamics,2014-01-01,43(2017-03-04)
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