globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1718-8
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84888028449
论文题名:
On regional dynamical downscaling for the assessment and projection of temperature and precipitation extremes across Tasmania, Australia
作者: White C.J.; McInnes K.L.; Cechet R.P.; Corney S.P.; Grose M.R.; Holz G.K.; Katzfey J.J.; Bindoff N.L.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2013
卷: 41, 期:2017-11-12
起始页码: 3145
结束页码: 3165
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Australian climate ; Climate change ; Extremes ; Observations ; Projections ; Regional climate models
英文摘要: The ability of an ensemble of six GCMs, downscaled to a 0.1° lat/lon grid using the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model over Tasmania, Australia, to simulate observed extreme temperature and precipitation climatologies and statewide trends is assessed for 1961-2009 using a suite of extreme indices. The downscaled simulations have high skill in reproducing extreme temperatures, with the majority of models reproducing the statewide averaged sign and magnitude of recent observed trends of increasing warm days and warm nights and decreasing frost days. The warm spell duration index is however underestimated, while variance is generally overrepresented in the extreme temperature range across most regions. The simulations show a lower level of skill in modelling the amplitude of the extreme precipitation indices such as very wet days, but simulate the observed spatial patterns and variability. In general, simulations of dry extreme precipitation indices are underestimated in dryer areas and wet extremes indices are underestimated in wetter areas. Using two SRES emissions scenarios, the simulations indicate a significant increase in warm nights compared to a slightly more moderate increase in warm days, and an increase in maximum 1- and 5-day precipitation intensities interspersed with longer consecutive dry spells across Tasmania during the twenty-first century. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54705
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre (ACE CRC), University of Tasmania, Private Bag 80, Hobart, TAS, 7001, Australia; Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR), CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Private Bag 1, Aspendale, VIC, 3195, Australia; Geoscience Australia, GPO Box 378, ACT, ACT, 2601, Australia; Institute of Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS), University of Tasmania, Private Bag 129, Hobart, TAS, 7001, Australia; Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR), CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, GPO Box 1538, Hobart, TAS, 7001, Australia

Recommended Citation:
White C.J.,McInnes K.L.,Cechet R.P.,et al. On regional dynamical downscaling for the assessment and projection of temperature and precipitation extremes across Tasmania, Australia[J]. Climate Dynamics,2013-01-01,41(2017-11-12)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[White C.J.]'s Articles
[McInnes K.L.]'s Articles
[Cechet R.P.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[White C.J.]'s Articles
[McInnes K.L.]'s Articles
[Cechet R.P.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[White C.J.]‘s Articles
[McInnes K.L.]‘s Articles
[Cechet R.P.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.