globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1607-6
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84886724951
论文题名:
The Asian summer monsoon: An intercomparison of CMIP5 vs. CMIP3 simulations of the late 20th century
作者: Sperber K.R.; Annamalai H.; Kang I.-S.; Kitoh A.; Moise A.; Turner A.; Wang B.; Zhou T.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2013
卷: 41, 期:2017-09-10
起始页码: 2711
结束页码: 2744
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Asian summer monsoon ; Climate model ; Intercomparison ; Model systematic error ; Skill metrics
英文摘要: The boreal summer Asian monsoon has been evaluated in 25 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project-5 (CMIP5) and 22 CMIP3 GCM simulations of the late twentieth Century. Diagnostics and skill metrics have been calculated to assess the time-mean, climatological annual cycle, interannual variability, and intraseasonal variability. Progress has been made in modeling these aspects of the monsoon, though there is no single model that best represents all of these aspects of the monsoon. The CMIP5 multi-model mean (MMM) is more skillful than the CMIP3 MMM for all diagnostics in terms of the skill of simulating pattern correlations with respect to observations. Additionally, for rainfall/convection the MMM outperforms the individual models for the time mean, the interannual variability of the East Asian monsoon, and intraseasonal variability. The pattern correlation of the time (pentad) of monsoon peak and withdrawal is better simulated than that of monsoon onset. The onset of the monsoon over India is typically too late in the models. The extension of the monsoon over eastern China, Korea, and Japan is underestimated, while it is overestimated over the subtropical western/central Pacific Ocean. The anti-correlation between anomalies of all-India rainfall and Niño3.4 sea surface temperature is overly strong in CMIP3 and typically too weak in CMIP5. For both the ENSO-monsoon teleconnection and the East Asian zonal wind-rainfall teleconnection, the MMM interannual rainfall anomalies are weak compared to observations. Though simulation of intraseasonal variability remains problematic, several models show improved skill at representing the northward propagation of convection and the development of the tilted band of convection that extends from India to the equatorial west Pacific. The MMM also well represents the space-time evolution of intraseasonal outgoing longwave radiation anomalies. Caution is necessary when using GPCP and CMAP rainfall to validate (1) the time-mean rainfall, as there are systematic differences over ocean and land between these two data sets, and (2) the timing of monsoon withdrawal over India, where the smooth southward progression seen in India Meteorological Department data is better realized in CMAP data compared to GPCP data. © 2012 Springer-Verlag (outside the USA).
资助项目: DOE, U.S. Department of Energy ; Office of Science, U.S. Department of Energy ; NOAA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ; NASA, National Aeronautics and Space Administration ; NERC, Natural Environment Research Council ; NSF, National Science Foundation
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54743
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, P.O. Box 808, L-103, Livermore, CA, 94551, United States; International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, 1680 East-West Road, Honolulu, HI, 96822, United States; School of Earth and Environmental Science (SEES), Seoul National University, Seoul, 151-742, South Korea; Meteorological Research Institute, 1-1 Nagamine, Tsukuba-shi, Ibaraki Prefecture, 305-0052, Japan; Climate Variability and Change Group, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, PO Box 1289, Melbourne, VIC, 3001, Australia; Department of Meteorology, National Centre for Atmospheric Science-Climate, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6BB, United Kingdom; LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, P.O. Box 9804, Beijing, 100029, China

Recommended Citation:
Sperber K.R.,Annamalai H.,Kang I.-S.,et al. The Asian summer monsoon: An intercomparison of CMIP5 vs. CMIP3 simulations of the late 20th century[J]. Climate Dynamics,2013-01-01,41(2017-09-10)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Sperber K.R.]'s Articles
[Annamalai H.]'s Articles
[Kang I.-S.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Sperber K.R.]'s Articles
[Annamalai H.]'s Articles
[Kang I.-S.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Sperber K.R.]‘s Articles
[Annamalai H.]‘s Articles
[Kang I.-S.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.