| DOI: | 10.1007/s00382-012-1517-7
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-84881029529
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| 论文题名: | On the added value of regional climate modeling in climate change assessment |
| 作者: | Paeth H.; Mannig B.
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| 刊名: | Climate Dynamics
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| ISSN: | 9307575
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| 出版年: | 2013
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| 卷: | 41, 期:2017-03-04 | | 起始页码: | 1057
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| 结束页码: | 1066
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Climate change detection
; Optimal fingerprinting
; Regional climate modeling
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| 英文摘要: | Regional climate models represent a promising tool to assess the regional dimension of future climate change and are widely used in climate impact research. While the added value of regional climate models has been highlighted with respect to a better representation of land-surface interactions and atmospheric processes, it is still unclear whether radiative heating implies predictability down to the typical scale of a regional climate model. As a quantitative assessment, we apply an optimal statistical filter to compare the coherence between observed and simulated patterns of Mediterranean climate change from a global and a regional climate model. It is found that the regional climate model has indeed an added value in the detection of regional climate change, contrary to former assumptions. The optimal filter may also serve as a weighting factor in multi-model averaging. © 2012 Springer-Verlag. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/54840
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| Appears in Collections: | 过去全球变化的重建
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作者单位: | Institute of Geography and Geology, University of Würzburg, Am Hubland, 97074 Würzburg, Germany
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Paeth H.,Mannig B.. On the added value of regional climate modeling in climate change assessment[J]. Climate Dynamics,2013-01-01,41(2017-03-04)
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