DOI: 10.1007/s00382-011-1081-6
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84860341173
论文题名: Variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in the last millennium and two IPCC scenarios
作者: Ortega P. ; Montoya M. ; González-Rouco F. ; Mignot J. ; Legutke S.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2012
卷: 38, 期: 2017-09-10 起始页码: 1925
结束页码: 1947
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
; Forced millennial simulations
; Future climate change
; Multidecadal variability
英文摘要: The variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is investigated in several climate simulations with the ECHO-G atmosphere-ocean general circulation model, including two forced integrations of the last millennium, one millennial-long control run, and two future scenario simulations of the twenty-first century. This constitutes a new framework in which the AMOC response to future climate change conditions is addressed in the context of both its past evolution and its natural variability. The main mechanisms responsible for the AMOC variability at interannual and multidecadal time scales are described. At high frequencies, the AMOC is directly responding to local changes in the Ekman transport, associated with three modes of climate variability: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the East Atlantic (EA) pattern. At low frequencies, the AMOC is largely controlled by convection activity south of Greenland. Again, the atmosphere is found to play a leading role in these variations. Positive anomalies of convection are preceded in 1 year by intensified zonal winds, associated in the forced runs to a positive NAO-like pattern. Finally, the sensitivity of the AMOC to three different forcing factors is investigated. The major impact is associated with increasing greenhouse gases, given their strong and persistent radiative forcing. Starting in the Industrial Era and continuing in the future scenarios, the AMOC experiences a final decrease of up to 40% with respect to the preindustrial average. Also, a weak but significant AMOC strengthening is found in response to the major volcanic eruptions, which produce colder and saltier surface conditions over the main convection regions. In contrast, no meaningful impact of the solar forcing on the AMOC is observed. Indeed, solar irradiance only affects convection in the Nordic Seas, with a marginal contribution to the AMOC variability in the ECHO-G runs. © 2011 Springer-Verlag. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/55299
Appears in Collections: 过去全球变化的重建
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Dpto. Astrofísica y Ciencias de la Atmósfera/Instituto de Geociencias, Facultad de Ciencias Físicas, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Ciudad Universitaria, 28040 Madrid, Spain; Instituto de Geociencias (UCM-CSIC), Facultad de Ciencias Físicas, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Ciudad Universitaria, 28040 Madrid, Spain; IPSL/LOCEAN, UPMC/CNRS/IRD/MNHN, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, 4 place Jussieu, 75252 Paris Cedex 05, France; Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum (DKRZ), Bundesstrasse 54a, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Ortega P.,Montoya M.,González-Rouco F.,et al. Variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in the last millennium and two IPCC scenarios[J]. Climate Dynamics,2012-01-01,38(2017-09-10)