DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2016.12.004
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85010526760
论文题名: China's low-carbon investment pathway under the 2 °C scenario
作者: Jiang K.-J. ; Zhuang X. ; He C.-M. ; Liu J. ; Xu X.-Y. ; Chen S.
刊名: Advances in Climate Change Research
ISSN: 16749278
出版年: 2016
卷: 7, 期: 4 起始页码: 229
结束页码: 234
语种: 英语
英文关键词: 2 °C target
; China
; Climate change
; Investment
; Mitigation
; Modeling
英文摘要: The generally adopted worldwide target is to keep the increase in the global mean temperature lower than 2 °C by 2100, which is comparable with that of the preindustrial era. It is feasible for China to realize an emission pathway that is consistent with this target; however, we need to understand the roadmap to do so. In this paper, the results of a modeling study by the Integrated Policy Assessment Model for China (IPAC) concerning the investment required to realize the 2 °C scenario by examining the penetration of low-carbon technologies including energy supply and energy efficiency improvement in end-use sectors is presented. It is found that the investment required in the energy supply sector to realize the 2 °C scenario could reach CN¥1.2 trillion by 2020, CN¥1.0 trillion by 2030, and CN¥1.4 trillion by 2050. The investment needed for energy saving could reach CN¥1.6 trillion by 2020, CN¥1.8 trillion by 2030, and CN¥1.5 trillion by 2050, which represents the additional investment as compared with the use of old technologies. If the investment required both in the energy supply sector and in energy saving in end-use sectors is considered, the total investment is estimated to be CN¥2.8 trillion by 2020, CN¥2.8 trillion by 2030, and CN¥2.9 trillion by 2050. These investments account for 2.5% of China's total GDP in 2020, 1.3% in 2030, and 0.6% by 2050, which represents quite a small investment percentage to realize the goal of low-carbon development. © 2017 National Climate Center (China Meteorological Administration) Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/58827
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission, Beijing, China; Environment Science and Engineering College, Peking University, Beijing, China; Renm Consulting, Beijing, China; Beijing University of Mining & Technology, Beijing, China; Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
Recommended Citation:
Jiang K.-J.,Zhuang X.,He C.-M.,et al. China's low-carbon investment pathway under the 2 °C scenario[J]. Advances in Climate Change Research,2016-01-01,7(4)