| DOI: | 10.1016/j.crm.2017.07.001
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| Scopus记录号: | 2-s2.0-85026463978
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| 论文题名: | Assessing farmers’ perceptions about climate change: A double-hurdle approach |
| 作者: | Hitayezu P.; Wale E.; Ortmann G.
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| 刊名: | Climate Risk Management
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| ISSN: | 22120963
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| 出版年: | 2017
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| 卷: | 17 | | 起始页码: | 123
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| 结束页码: | 138
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Analytic processing
; Climate risk perception
; Double-hurdle model
; Experiential processing
; South Africa
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| 英文摘要: | Drawing from insights of the behavioural decision research, this study applies a double-hurdle (DH) estimation technique to assess social-psychological factors influencing the likelihood of perceiving climate risk and, given positive perception, the perceived patterns of climate change (CC) among farmers in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. The model employs survey data collected from 352 small-scale farmers, 68% of whom had recognized CC, as indicated by perceptions of abnormal weather. Dominant perceptions are analysed using a principal component analysis technique and appraised based on meteorological records. The results point to higher probabilities of perceiving climate risk among farmers who experience more emotive mental imagery and those with stronger egalitarian values. The results further suggest that farmers who perceive CC based on affective impression and direct personal experience are more likely to suffer cognitive bias in their perceptions compared to farmers who perceive climate risk based on knowledge and analytic processing of climate information. Based on these findings, recommendations for effective CC communication policy are outlined. © 2017 Elsevier B.V. |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/58958
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| Appears in Collections: | 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Laterite Ltd, Kigali, Rwanda; University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Hitayezu P.,Wale E.,Ortmann G.. Assessing farmers’ perceptions about climate change: A double-hurdle approach[J]. Climate Risk Management,2017-01-01,17
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