globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2017.03.006
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85018747395
论文题名:
Understanding the evolution of the 2014–2016 summer rainfall seasons in southern Africa: Key lessons
作者: Archer E.R.M.; Landman W.A.; Tadross M.A.; Malherbe J.; Weepener H.; Maluleke P.; Marumbwa F.M.
刊名: Climate Risk Management
ISSN: 22120963
出版年: 2017
卷: 16
起始页码: 22
结束页码: 28
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Agriculture ; Drought ; Early warning ; Southern Africa
英文摘要: The recent 2015/16 summer rainfall season in the terrestrial Southern African Development Community (SADC) region appears to be the most severe since the droughts of the early 1980s and 1990s; with well-publicized significant impacts on agriculture and food security. Impacts have been particularly concerning since the 2015/6 season followed a poor rainy season in 2014/15, in certain areas compounding already compromised production (total maize production was, for example, down 40% relative to the previous 5 year average). This paper reviews climate forecasts and observations of the two seasons, and presents examples of the resulting impacts on agriculture within the region. We conclude by considering what may be learnt from this experience, focussing on operational recommendations for early warning within SADC, as well as longstanding needs for awareness raising and capacity building. © 2017 The Authors
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/58981
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: CSIR Natural Resources and the Environment, Building 1, Corner Carlow & Rustenburg Roads, Emmarentia 2193, South Africa; Global Change and Sustainability Research Institute (GCSRI), University of the Witwatersrand, University Corner, 1 Jan Smuts Avenue, Braamfontein 2000, Johannesburg, South Africa; University of Pretoria, Private Bag X20, Hatfield, South Africa; Climate Systems Analysis Group, University of Cape Town/UNDP, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch, South Africa; Institute for Soil, Climate and Water, Agricultural Research Council, 600 Belvedere St, Pretoria, South Africa; MESA SADC, P.O. Box 10100, Gaborone, Botswana

Recommended Citation:
Archer E.R.M.,Landman W.A.,Tadross M.A.,et al. Understanding the evolution of the 2014–2016 summer rainfall seasons in southern Africa: Key lessons[J]. Climate Risk Management,2017-01-01,16
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